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Related papers: A contact process with stronger mutations on trees

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We study contact epidemic models for the spread of infective diseases in finite populations. The size dependence enters in the infection rate. The dynamics of such models is then analyzed within the deterministic approximation, as well as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Ph. Blanchard , S. Nicolis

Whole genome sequencing of pathogens from multiple hosts in an epidemic offers the potential to investigate who infected whom with unparalleled resolution, potentially yielding important insights into disease dynamics and the impact of…

Human pathogens transmitted through environmental pathways are subject to stress and pressures outside of the host. These pressures may cause pathogen pathovars to diverge in their environmental persistence and their infectivity on an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-16 Andrew F. Brouwer , Marisa C. Eisenberg , Nancy G. Love , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg

Mechanisms leading to speciation are a major focus in evolutionary biology. In this paper, we present and study a stochastic model of population where individuals, with type a or A, are equivalent from ecological, demographical and spatial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-20 Camille Coron , Manon Costa , Hélène Leman , Charline Smadi

We propose a stochastic model for evolution through mutation and natural selection of a population that evolves on a $\bbT_d^+$ tree. We think of this model as a way of describing the evolution fitness landscape of a population. We obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We propose a hybrid dynamical system approach to model the evolution of a pathogen that experiences different selective pressures according to a stochastic process. In every environment, the evolution of the pathogen is described by a…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Jozsef Z. Farkas , Peter Hinow , Jan Engelstädter

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

Epidemic spreading over populations networks has been an important subject of research for several decades, and especially during the Covid-19 pandemic. Most epidemic outbreaks are likely to create multiple mutations during their spreading…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-30 Aviel Ivry , Reuven Cohen , Amikam Patron

We investigate a cyclic game system where organisms face an epidemic beyond being threatened by natural enemies. As a survival strategy, individuals of one out of the species usually safeguard themselves by approaching the enemies of their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-09 J. Menezes , B. Ferreira , E. Rangel , B. Moura

We consider a stochastic model, describing the growth of two competing infections on $\mathbb{R}^d$. The growth takes place by way of spherical outbursts in the infected region, an outburst in the type 1 (2) infected region causing all…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen , Olle Häggström

According to the competitive exclusion principle, in a finite ecosystem, extinction occurs naturally when two or more species compete for the same resources. An important question that arises is: when coexistence is not possible, which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-16 Marcelo Martins de Oliveira , Ronald Dickman

Pathogen transmission and virulence are main evolutionary variables broadly assumed to be linked through trade-offs. In well-mixed populations, these trade-offs are often ascribed to physiological restrictions, while populations with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-10 Victor Buendía , Miguel A. Muñoz , Susanna Manrubia

Consider a birth and death chain to model the number of types of a given virus. Each type gives birth to a new type at rate $\lambda$ and dies at rate 1. Each type is also assigned a fitness. When a death occurs either the least fit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 J. T. Cox , R. B. Schinazi

We introduce spatially explicit stochastic processes to model multispecies host-symbiont interactions. The host environment is static, modeled by the infinite percolation cluster of site percolation. Symbionts evolve on the infinite cluster…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-23 D. Bertacchi , N. Lanchier , F. Zucca

The rise of antimicrobial drug resistance is an imminent threat to global health that has warranted, and duly received, considerable attention within the medical, microbiological and modelling communities. Outbreaks of drug-resistant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-12 Michael T. Meehan , Robert C. Cope , Emma S. McBryde

Cells of the human body have nearly identical genome but exhibit very different phenotypes that allow them to carry out specific functions and react to changes in their surrounding environment. This division of labour is achieved by…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 Hanan Dreiwi , Flavia Feliciangeli , Mario Castro , Grant Lythe , Carmen Molina-París , Martín López-García

In this paper we study a class of stochastic individual-based models that describe the evolution of haploid populations where each individual is characterised by a phenotype and a genotype. The phenotype of an individual determines its…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Martina Baar , Anton Bovier

We present a methodology providing a one-directional link from within-host individual heterogeneity to population-level disease transmission dynamics. The methodology works in several steps. A within-host model is investigated numerically…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-19 Julien Arino , Morgan Craig , Clotilde Djuikem , Kang-Ling Liao , Stéphanie Portet

The annual occurrence of many infectious diseases remains a constant burden to public health systems. The seasonal patterns in respiratory disease incidence observed in temperate regions have been attributed to the impact of environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-13 Marguerite Robinson , Yannis Drossinos , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis

We study one specific version of the contact process on a graph. Here, we allow multiple infections carried by the nodes and include a probability of removing nodes in a graph. The removal probability is purely determined by the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Xu Huang