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Related papers: Expected Signature Kernels for L\'evy Rough Paths

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Signature kernels, inner products of path signatures, underpin several machine learning algorithms for multivariate time series analysis. For bounded variation paths, signature kernels were recently shown to solve a Goursat PDE. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Maud Lemercier , Terry Lyons , Cristopher Salvi

The interface between stochastic analysis and machine learning is a rapidly evolving field, with path signatures - iterated integrals that provide faithful, hierarchical representations of paths - offering a principled and universal feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Csaba Tóth

We compute the expected signature of a class of Gaussian processes which is a subclass of the Gaussian processes with regular kernels, in the sense of Alos, Mazet and Nualart.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-18 H. Boedihardjo , A. Papavasiliou , Z. Qian

Recently, there has been an increased interest in the development of kernel methods for learning with sequential data. The signature kernel is a learning tool with potential to handle irregularly sampled, multivariate time series. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Cristopher Salvi , Thomas Cass , James Foster , Terry Lyons , Weixin Yang

Central to rough path theory is the signature transform of a path, an infinite series of tensors given by the iterated integrals of the underlying path. The signature poses an effective way to capture sequentially ordered information,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Daniil Shmelev , Cristopher Salvi

The signature of a path, as a fundamental object in Rough path theory, serves as a generating function for non-commutative monomials on path space. It transforms the path into a grouplike element in the tensor algebra space, summarising the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Terry Lyons , Hao Ni , Jiajie Tao

The expected signature maps a collection of data streams to a lower dimensional representation, with a remarkable property: the resulting feature tensor can fully characterize the data generating distribution. This "model-free" embedding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Signature kernels have emerged as a powerful tool within kernel methods for sequential data. In the paper "The Signature Kernel is the solution of a Goursat PDE", the authors identify a kernel trick that demonstrates that, for continuously…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Thomas Cass , Francesco Piatti , Jeffrey Pei

Suppose that $\gamma$ and $\sigma$ are two continuous bounded variation paths which take values in a finite-dimensional inner product space $V$. Recent papers have introduced the truncated and the untruncated signature kernel of $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Thomas Cass , Terry Lyons , Xingcheng Xu

The concept of signatures and expected signatures is vital in data science, especially for sequential data analysis. The signature transform, a Cartan type development, translates paths into high-dimensional feature vectors, capturing their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-12 Peter K. Friz , Paul P. Hager , Nikolas Tapia

Tensor algebras give rise to one of the most powerful measures of similarity for sequences of arbitrary length called the signature kernel accompanied with attractive theoretical guarantees from stochastic analysis. Previous algorithms to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-25 Csaba Toth , Harald Oberhauser , Zoltan Szabo

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, with generalization properties determined by a kernel function. When used for long-range extrapolation, predictions are particularly sensitive to the choice of kernel parameters. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-05 Phillip A. Jang , Andrew E. Loeb , Matthew B. Davidow , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The signature kernel is a positive definite kernel for sequential and temporal data that has become increasingly popular in machine learning applications due to powerful theoretical guarantees, strong empirical performance, and recently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-15 Csaba Tóth , Danilo Jr Dela Cruz , Harald Oberhauser

The signature kernel is a positive definite kernel for sequential data. It inherits theoretical guarantees from stochastic analysis, has efficient algorithms for computation, and shows strong empirical performance. In this short survey…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Darrick Lee , Harald Oberhauser

The signature kernel is a kernel between time series of arbitrary length and comes with strong theoretical guarantees from stochastic analysis. It has found applications in machine learning such as covariance functions for Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Csaba Tóth , Masaki Adachi , Michael A. Osborne , Harald Oberhauser

Building on the functional-analytic framework of operator-valued kernels and un-truncated signature kernels, we propose a scalable, provably convergent signature-based algorithm for a broad class of high-dimensional, path-dependent hedging…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Nicola Muca Cirone , Cristopher Salvi

The solution to a multivariate linear Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) with constant initial state is well known to be a Gaussian Markov process, but its covariance kernel involves the solution to an integral equation in the general…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Kerry Fendick

Conditional expectiles are becoming an increasingly important tool in finance as well as in other areas of applications. We analyse a support vector machine type approach for estimating conditional expectiles and establish learning rates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Muhammad Farooq , Ingo Steinwart

Simulation models of complex dynamics in the natural and social sciences commonly lack a tractable likelihood function, rendering traditional likelihood-based statistical inference impossible. Recent advances in machine learning have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-24 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , Sebastian M Schmon

We develop a rough-path framework for two-parameter rough differential equations on rectangular and simplicial domains, motivated by the signature kernel and Schwinger--Dyson kernel equations. The theory is formulated in spaces of jointly…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Thomas Cass , Dan Crisan , Andrea Iannucci , William F. Turner
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