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Related papers: Expected Signature Kernels for L\'evy Rough Paths

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In this paper we introduce Keras Sig a high-performance pythonic library designed to compute path signature for deep learning applications. Entirely built in Keras 3, \textit{Keras Sig} leverages the seamless integration with the mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Rémi Genet , Hugo Inzirillo

Sequential and temporal data arise in many fields of research, such as quantitative finance, medicine, or computer vision. A novel approach for sequential learning, called the signature method and rooted in rough path theory, is considered.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Adeline Fermanian

The signature is a canonical representation of a multidimensional path over an interval. However, it treats all historical information uniformly, offering no intrinsic mechanism for contextualising the relevance of the past. To address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-20 Alexandre Bloch , Samuel N. Cohen , Terry Lyons , Joël Mouterde , Benjamin Walker

Uncertainty estimation is essential for robust decision-making in the presence of ambiguous or out-of-distribution inputs. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are classical kernel-based models that offer principled uncertainty quantification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Albert Saiapin , Kim Batselier

We obtain minimax-optimal convergence rates in the supremum norm, including information-theoretic lower bounds, for estimating the covariance kernel of a stochastic process which is repeatedly observed at discrete, synchronous design…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Max Berger , Hajo Holzmann

We study a class of Gaussian processes for which the posterior mean, for a particular choice of data, replicates a truncated Taylor expansion of any order. The data consist of derivative evaluations at the expansion point and the prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Toni Karvonen , Jon Cockayne , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

This paper deals with the speed of convergence of the learning curve in a Gaussian process regression framework. The learning curve describes the average generalization error of the Gaussian process used for the regression. More…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-14 Loic Le Gratiet , Josselin Garnier

This paper develops a novel mathematical framework for collaborative learning by means of geometrically inspired kernel machines which includes statements on the bounds of generalisation and approximation errors, and sample complexity. For…

Many techniques for data science and uncertainty quantification demand efficient tools to handle Gaussian random fields, which are defined in terms of their mean functions and covariance operators. Recently, parameterized Gaussian random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Daniel Kressner , Jonas Latz , Stefano Massei , Elisabeth Ullmann

Convergence of a projected stochastic gradient algorithm is demonstrated for convex objective functionals with convex constraint sets in Hilbert spaces. In the convex case, the sequence of iterates ${u_n}$ converges weakly to a point in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Caroline Geiersbach , Georg Pflug

Smoothing classifiers and probability density functions with Gaussian kernels appear unrelated, but in this work, they are unified for the problem of robust classification. The key building block is approximating the $\textit{energy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-12 Saeed Saremi , Rupesh Srivastava

In this paper, we study reflected generalized backward doubly stochastic differential equations driven by Teugels martingales associated with L\'evy process (RGBDSDELs, in short) with one continuous barrier. Under uniformly Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Auguste Aman

A new nonparametric approach for system identification has been recently proposed where the impulse response is seen as the realization of a zero--mean Gaussian process whose covariance, the so--called stable spline kernel, guarantees that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Francesca Paola Carli

We establish a general form of explicit, input-dependent, measure-valued warpings for learning nonstationary kernels. While stationary kernels are ubiquitous and simple to use, they struggle to adapt to functions that vary in smoothness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Anthony Tompkins , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

We derive and prove the path-kernel formula for the linear response (parameter-derivative of averaged statistics) of SDEs. The parameter may affect the drift coefficient, the diffusion coefficient, and the initial condition. The formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Angxiu Ni

We consider the problem of positive-semidefinite continuation: extending a partially specified covariance kernel from a subdomain $\Omega$ of a rectangular domain $I\times I$ to a covariance kernel on the entire domain $I\times I$. For a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Kartik G. Waghmare , Victor M. Panaretos

Motivated by limits of critical inhomogeneous random graphs, we construct a family of sequences of measured metric spaces that we call continuous multiplicative graphs, that are expected to be the universal limit of graphs related to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-07 Nicolas Broutin , Thomas Duquesne , Minmin Wang

We investigate some recursive procedures based on an exact or ``approximate'' Euler scheme with decreasing step in vue to computation of invariant measures of solutions to S.D.E. driven by a L\'evy process. Our results are valid for a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-02 Fabien Panloup

Long-term forecasting involves predicting a horizon that is far ahead of the last observation. It is a problem of high practical relevance, for instance for companies in order to decide upon expensive long-term investments. Despite the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Kai Chen , Twan van Laarhoven , Elena Marchiori

In this paper we study processes which are constructed by a convolution of a deterministic kernel with a martingale. A special emphasis is put on the case where the driving martingale is a centred L\'evy process, which covers the popular…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Christian Bender , Robert Knobloch , Philip Oberacker
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