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Simultaneously monitoring changes in both the mean and variance is a fundamental problem in Statistical Process Control, and numerous methods have been developed to address it. However, many existing approaches face notable limitations:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Gokul Parakulum , Jun Li

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We study detection methods for multivariable signals under dependent noise. The main focus is on three-dimensional signals, i.e. on signals in the space-time domain. Examples for such signals are multifaceted. They include geographic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Annabel Prause , Ansgar Steland

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model to simultaneously estimate mean based changepoints in spatially correlated functional time series. Unlike previous methods that assume a shared changepoint at all spatial locations or ignore spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Mengchen Wang , Trevor Harris , Bo Li

It is well known that the conventional cumulative sum (CUSUM) test suffers from low power and large detection delay. In order to improve the power of the test, we propose two alternative statistics. The backward CUSUM detector considers the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-13 Sven Otto , Jörg Breitung

This paper describes and compares several prominent single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data. Due to their importance in inferential matters, changepoint research on correlated data has accelerated recently.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Xueheng Shi , Colin Gallagher , Robert Lund , Rebecca Killick

This paper addresses the problem of detecting changes when only unnormalized pre- and post-change distributions are accessible. This situation happens in many scenarios in physics such as in ferromagnetism, crystallography,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-12 Arman Adibi , Sanjeev Kulkarni , H. Vincent Poor , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh

This article develops a statistical test for the null hypothesis of strict stationarity of a discrete time stochastic process in the frequency domain. When the null hypothesis is true, the second order cumulant spectrum is zero at all the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-31 Denisa Roberts , Douglas Patterson

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

We study a CUSUM (cumulative sums) procedure for the detection of changes in the means of weakly dependent time series within an abstract Hilbert space framework. We use an empirical projection approach via a principal component…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Leonid Torgovitski

Probabilistic graphical models are a key tool in machine learning applications. Computing the partition function, i.e., normalizing constant, is a fundamental task of statistical inference but it is generally computationally intractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Sungsoo Ahn , Michael Chertkov , Adrian Weller , Jinwoo Shin

In this work, we aim to provide a new and efficient recursive detection method for temporarily monitored signals. Motivated by the case of the propagation of an event over a field of sensors, we assumed that the change in the statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 V. Watson , F. Septier , P. Armand , C. Duchenne

Many experiments record sequential trajectories where each trajectory consists of oscillations and fluctuations around zero. Such trajectories can be viewed as zero-mean functional data. When there are structural breaks (on the sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-11 Shuhao Jiao , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

A time-domain test for the assumption of second order stationarity of a functional time series is proposed. The test is based on combining individual cumulative sum tests which are designed to be sensitive to changes in the mean, variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

In this paper, change-point problems for long memory stochastic volatility models are considered. A general testing problem which includes various alternative hypotheses is discussed. Under the hypothesis of stationarity the limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Annika Betken , Rafał Kulik

We consider offline detection of a single changepoint in binary and count time-series. We compare exact tests based on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the likelihood ratio (LR) statistics, and a new proposal that combines exact two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-21 Shyamal K. De , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

High-dimensional changepoint inference, adaptable to diverse alternative scenarios, has attracted significant attention in recent years. In this paper, we propose an adaptive and robust approach to changepoint testing. Specifically, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Jixuan Liu , Long Feng , Liuhua Peng , Zhaojun Wang

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

In this paper, we consider the problem of (multiple) change-point detection in panel data. We propose the double CUSUM statistic which utilises the cross-sectional change-point structure by examining the cumulative sums of ordered CUSUMs at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho