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CUSUMs based on the signed sequential ranks of observations are developed for detecting location and scale changes in symmetric distributions. The CUSUMs are distribution free and fully self-starting: given a specified in-control median and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 F. Lombard , C. Van Zyl

The problem of detecting change points in the parameters of a linear regression model with errors and covariates exhibiting heteroscedasticity is considered. Asymptotic results for weighted functionals of the cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Lajos Horvath , Gregory Rice , Yuqian Zhao

The aim of this paper is to develop a change-point test for functional time series that uses the full functional information and is less sensitive to outliers compared to the classical CUSUM test. For this aim, the Wilcoxon two-sample test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Lea Wegner , Martin Wendler

Modelling a large bundle of curves arises in a broad spectrum of real applications. However, existing literature relies primarily on the critical assumption of independent curve observations. In this paper, we provide a general theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

Consider a sequence X_k=\sum_{j=0}^{\infty}c_j\xi_{k-j}, k\geq 1, where c_j, j\geq 0, is a sequence of constants and \xi_j, -\infty <j<\infty, is a sequence of independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables (r.v.s) belonging…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Jeganathan

For a broad class of nonlinear time series known as Bernoulli shifts, we establish the asymptotic normality of the smoothed periodogram estimator of the long-run variance. This estimator uses only a narrow band of Fourier frequencies around…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Vaidotas Characiejus , Piotr Kokoszka , Xiangdong Meng

In this paper we propose new methodology for the data segmentation, also known as multiple change point problem, in a general framework including classic mean change scenarios, changes in linear regression but also changes in the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Claudia Kirch , Kerstin Reckruehm

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

Detecting abrupt changes in real-time data streams from scientific simulations presents a challenging task, demanding the deployment of accurate and efficient algorithms. Identifying change points in live data stream involves continuous…

This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Claudia Kirch , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer , Yifu Tang

Calculation of the log-normalizer is a major computational obstacle in applications of log-linear models with large output spaces. The problem of fast normalizer computation has therefore attracted significant attention in the theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-19 Jacob Andreas , Maxim Rabinovich , Dan Klein , Michael I. Jordan

In this paper we propose statistical inference tools for the covariance operators of functional time series in the two sample and change point problem. In contrast to most of the literature the focus of our approach is not testing the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Holger Dette , Kevin Kokot

Let $\{X_j\}$ be independent, identically distributed random variables. It is well known that the functional CUSUM statistic and its randomly permuted version both converge weakly to a Brownian bridge if second moments exist. Surprisingly,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Alexander Aue , István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

Through a regularization procedure, few approximation schemes of the local time of a large class of one dimensional processes are given. We mainly consider the local time of continuous semimartingales and reversible diffusions, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-05 Blandine Berard Bergery , Pierre Vallois

Many popular robust estimators are $U$-quantiles, most notably the Hodges-Lehmann location estimator and the $Q_n$ scale estimator. We prove a functional central limit theorem for the sequential $U$-quantile process without any moment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Daniel Vogel , Martin Wendler

Continuous-time state estimation is gaining in popularity due to its abilities to provide smooth solutions, handle asynchronous sensors, and interpolate between data points. While there are two main paradigms, parametric (e.g., temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Connor Holmes , Sven Lilge , Zi Cong Guo , Frank Dellaert , Timothy D. Barfoot

We propose a family of weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the WLS residuals for the online detection of changepoints in a Random Coefficient Autoregressive model, using both the standard CUSUM and the Page-CUSUM process. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

We propose a testing procedure based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic in order to test for change-points in the mean of long-range dependent data. We show that the corresponding self-normalized test statistic converges in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Annika Betken

Classical change point analysis aims at (1) detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a possibly non-stationary time series and at (2) identifying regions where the mean exhibits a piecewise constant behavior. In many applications however, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang
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