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Related papers: Bayesian Field Theory of the Rate Estimation

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It is shown that if the Euclidean path integral measure of a minimally coupled free quantum scalar field on a classical metric background is interpreted as probability of observing the field configuration given the background metric then…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-02-22 Can Gokler

We develop a framework for the analysis of deep neural networks and neural ODE models that are trained with stochastic gradient algorithms. We do that by identifying the connections between control theory, deep learning and theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-18 Jean-François Jabir , David Šiška , Łukasz Szpruch

Latent space models are powerful statistical tools for modeling and understanding network data. While the importance of accounting for uncertainty in network analysis has been well recognized, the current literature predominantly focuses on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Jinming Li , Shihao Wu , Chengyu Cui , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

We investigate the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on individual subjects from observational data, this is a central problem in various application domains, including healthcare, social sciences, and online…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-30 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Non-linear renewal theory is extended to include random walks perturbed by both a slowly changing sequence and a stationary one. Main results include a version of the Key Renewal Theorem, a derivation of the limiting distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Dong-Yun Kim , Michael Woodroofe

The phenomena of subdiffusion are widely observed in physical and biological systems. To investigate the effects of external potentials, say, harmonic potential, linear potential, and time dependent force, we study the subdiffusion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-24 Yao Chen , Xudong Wang , Weihua Deng

We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Surbhi Goel , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

We study the problem of estimating the mode and maximum of an unknown regression function in the presence of noise. We adopt the Bayesian approach by using tensor-product B-splines and endowing the coefficients with Gaussian priors. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-16 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

The real time evolution of a scalar field in 0+1 dimensions is investigated on a complex time contour. The path integral formulation of the system has a sign problem, which is circumvented using the Complex Langevin equation. Measurement of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-09-13 Nina Maria Lampl , Dénes Sexty

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for understanding brain function, while neural activity in the brain is inherently spike-based. This paper bridges these two perspectives by designing spiking neural networks that simulate…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-01 Sepideh Adamiat , Wouter M. Kouw , Bert de Vries

Fluctuation properties of the Langevin equation including a multiplicative, power-law noise and a quadratic potential are discussed. The noise has the Levy stable distribution. If this distribution is truncated, the covariance can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Tomasz Srokowski

A statistical, path-dependent framework to describe time-dependent macroscopic theories using the Principle of Maximum Caliber is presented. By means of this procedure, it is possible to infer predictive non-equilibrium statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-20 Ignacio Tapia , Gonzalo Gutiérrez , Sergio Davis

The simplest field theory description of the multivariate statistics of forward rate variations over time and maturities, involves a quadratic action containing a gradient squared rigidity term. However, this choice leads to a spurious kink…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Belal Baaquie , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

A critical step in data analysis for many different types of experiments is the identification of features with theoretically defined shapes in N-dimensional datasets; examples of this process include finding peaks in multi-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-08-25 Korak Kumar Ray , Anjali R. Verma , Ruben L. Gonzalez , Colin D. Kinz-Thompson

The nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation is widely studied under conditions of bounded variances in noise. Motivated by recent advances that allow for variability linked to the current state or time, we consider state- and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Zixi Chen , Yumin Xu , Ruixun Zhang

We consider a task of surveillance-evading path-planning in a continuous setting. An Evader strives to escape from a 2D domain while minimizing the risk of detection (and immediate capture). The probability of detection is path-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Dongping Qi , David Bindel , Alexander Vladimirsky

This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Matteo Giordano , Alisa Kirichenko , Judith Rousseau

Sensors based on single spins can enable magnetic field detection with very high sensitivity and spatial resolution. Previous work has concentrated on sensing of a constant magnetic field or a periodic signal. Here, we instead investigate…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-06-01 Cristian Bonato , Dominic W. Berry

In this paper, we address the fundamental problem of line spectral estimation in a Bayesian framework. We target model order and parameter estimation via variational inference in a probabilistic model in which the frequencies are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Mihai-Alin Badiu , Thomas Lundgaard Hansen , Bernard Henri Fleury