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In this thesis we study adaptive nonparametric regression with noise misspecification and the complexity of approximation of random fields in dependence of the dimension. First, we consider the problem of pointwise estimation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-15 Nora Serdyukova

The measured time series from complex systems are renowned for their intricate stochastic behavior, characterized by random fluctuations stemming from external influences and nonlinear interactions. These fluctuations take diverse forms,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-19 Pyei Phyo Lin , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

We study the maximal displacement of branching random walks in a class of time inhomogeneous environments. Specifically, binary branching random walks with Gaussian increments will be considered, where the variances of the increments change…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Ofer Zeitouni , Ming Fang

We consider a previously devised model describing Levy random walks (Phys. Rev E 79, 011110; 80, 031148, (2009)). It is demonstrated numerically that the given model describes Levy random walks with superdiffusive, ballistic, as well as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Ihor Lubashevsky , Andreas Heuer , Rudolf Friedrich , Ramil Usmanov

Bayesian predictive inference provides a coherent description of entire predictive uncertainty through predictive distributions. We examine several widely used sparsity priors from the predictive (as opposed to estimation) inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Veronika Rockova

To make informed decisions in natural environments that change over time, humans must update their beliefs as new observations are gathered. Studies exploring human inference as a dynamical process that unfolds in time have focused on…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Arthur Prat-Carrabin , Robert C. Wilson , Jonathan D. Cohen , Rava Azeredo da Silveira

The diffusion behavior of particles moving in complex heterogeneous environment is a very topical issue. We characterize particle's trajectory via an underdamped Langevin system driven by a Gaussian white noise with a time dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-05 Yao Chen , Xudong Wang

Stochastic process models for spatiotemporal data underlying random fields find substantial utility in a range of scientific disciplines. Subsequent to predictive inference on the values of the random field (or spatial surface indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Aritra Halder , Didong Li , Sudipto Banerjee

The statistical theory of extremes is extended to observations that are non-stationary and not independent. The non-stationarity over time and space is controlled via the scedasis (tail scale) in the marginal distributions. Spatial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 John H. J. Einmahl , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan , Claudia Neves , Chen Zhou

Variational inference has become one of the most widely used methods in latent variable modeling. In its basic form, variational inference employs a fully factorized variational distribution and minimizes its KL divergence to the posterior.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Robert Bamler , Cheng Zhang , Manfred Opper , Stephan Mandt

The paper extends an impulsive control-theoretical framework towards dynamic systems in the space of measures. We consider a transport equation describing the time-evolution of a conservative "mass" (probability measure), which represents…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Nikolay Pogodaev , Maxim Staritsyn

In this paper, a class of statistics based on high frequency observations of oscillating and skew Brownian motion is considered. Their convergence rate towards the local time of the underlying process is obtained in form of a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Sara Mazzonetto

Inference of fields defined in space and time from observational data is a core discipline in many scientific areas. This work approaches the problem in a Bayesian framework. The proposed method is based on statistically homogeneous random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-05 Philipp Frank , Reimar Leike , Torsten A. Enßlin

A theory of time dependent nonlinear dispersive equations of the Schroedinger / Gross-Pitaevskii and Hartree type is developed. The short, intermediate and large time behavior is found, by deriving nonlinear Master equations (NLME),…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Soffer , M. I. Weinstein

Real time evolution of a scalar field theory is investigated. The severe sign problem is circumvented using the Complex Langevin equation. The naive application of the method breaks down for extended real times due to the appearance of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-03-03 Daniel Alvestad , Alexander Rothkopf , Dénes Sexty

Given nonstationary data from molecular dynamics simulations, a Markovian Langevin model is constructed that aims to reproduce the time evolution of the underlying process. While at equilibrium the free energy landscape is sampled,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-07-20 Benjamin Lickert , Steffen Wolf , Gerhard Stock

We show that the quantum stochastic unitary dynamics Langevin model for continuous in time measurements provides an exact formulation of the Heisenberg uncertainty error-disturbance principle. Moreover, as it was shown in the 80's, this…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 V. P. Belavkin

We study zero-shot conditional sampling with pretrained diffusion models for linear inverse problems, including inpainting and super-resolution. In these problems, the observation determines only part of the unknown signal. The remaining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Ahmad Aghapour , Erhan Bayraktar , Asaf Cohen

We consider the task of modeling a dependent sequence of random partitions. It is well-known that a random measure in Bayesian nonparametrics induces a distribution over random partitions. The community has therefore assumed that the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , David B. Dahl

An ongoing challenge in animal ecology is developing movement models that account for the autocorrelation, and often temporal irregularity, in telemetry data. Continuous-time Langevin diffusion models have been proposed to model temporally…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Ron R. Togunov , S. Knutsen Furset , Martin E. Pettersen , Robert B. O'Hara
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