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We price European-style options written on forward contracts in a commodity market, which we model with an infinite-dimensional Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach. For this purpose we introduce a new class of state-dependent volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Fred Espen Benth , Nils Detering , Silvia Lavagnini

Recent literature seek to forecast implied volatility derived from equity, index, foreign exchange, and interest rate options using latent factor and parametric frameworks. Motivated by increased public attention borne out of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Fearghal Kearney , Han Lin Shang , Lisa Sheenan

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang

In this paper we develop a novel neural network model for predicting implied volatility surface. Prior financial domain knowledge is taken into account. A new activation function that incorporates volatility smile is proposed, which is used…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-31 Yu Zheng , Yongxin Yang , Bowei Chen

Pricing assets has attracted significant attention from the financial technology community. We observe that the existing solutions overlook the cross-sectional effects and not fully leveraged the heterogeneous data sets, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Qiong Wu , Christopher G. Brinton , Zheng Zhang , Andrea Pizzoferrato , Zhenming Liu , Mihai Cucuringu

Recently there has been an increased interest in unsupervised learning of disentangled representations using the Variational Autoencoder (VAE) framework. Most of the existing work has focused largely on modifying the variational cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Jan Stühmer , Richard E. Turner , Sebastian Nowozin

We investigate solving partial integro-differential equations (PIDEs) using unsupervised deep learning in this paper. To price options, assuming underlying processes follow Levy processes, we require to solve PIDEs. In supervised deep…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-04 Ali Hirsa , Weilong Fu

Stochastic differential equation (SDE) models are the foundation for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. The drift and volatility functions in SDE models are typically chosen to be algebraic functions with a small number (less than…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-04 Lei Fan , Justin Sirignano

Straddle Option is a financial trading tool that explores volatility premiums in high-volatility markets without predicting price direction. Although deep reinforcement learning has emerged as a powerful approach to trading automation in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-11 Yiran Wan , Xinyu Ying , Shengzhen Xu

Stock market volatility forecasting is a task relevant to assessing market risk. We investigate the interaction between news and prices for the one-day-ahead volatility prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning approaches. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-31 Marcelo Sardelich , Suresh Manandhar

Accurate covariance forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and asset pricing, yet many existing methods struggle at medium-term horizons, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics predominate. We propose a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Pedro Reis , Ana Paula Serra , João Gama

Option pricing is a significant problem for option risk management and trading. In this article, we utilize a framework to present financial data from different sources. The data is processed and represented in a form of 2D tensors in three…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-24 Muyang Ge , Shen Zhou , Shijun Luo , Boping Tian

Deep learning methods have become a widespread toolbox for pricing and calibration of financial models. While they often provide new directions and research results, their `black box' nature also results in a lack of interpretability. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Bo Yuan , Damiano Brigo , Antoine Jacquier , Nicola Pede

We consider assets for which price $X_t$ and squared volatility $Y_t$ are jointly driven by Heston joint stochastic differential equations (SDEs). When the parameters of these SDEs are estimated from $N$ sub-sampled data $(X_{nT}, Y_{nT})$,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-22 Robert Azencott , Yutheeka Gadhyan , Roland Glowinski

In this paper we employ deep learning techniques to detect financial asset bubbles by using observed call option prices. The proposed algorithm is widely applicable and model-independent. We test the accuracy of our methodology in numerical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Francesca Biagini , Lukas Gonon , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

We apply supervised deep neural networks (DNNs) for pricing and calibration of both vanilla and exotic options under both diffusion and pure jump processes with and without stochastic volatility. We train our neural network models under…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-18 Ali Hirsa , Tugce Karatas , Amir Oskoui

We apply a physics-informed deep-learning approach the PINN approach to the Black-Scholes equation for pricing American and European options. We test our approach on both simulated as well as real market data, compare it to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-13 Ashish Dhiman , Yibei Hu

Multi-asset option pricing under local- and stochastic-volatility models leads naturally to high-dimensional parabolic PDEs. We develop an end-to-end quantum PDE framework for European option pricing under local-volatility Black--Scholes…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-27 Nikita Guseynov , Nana Liu , Chi Seng Pun , Tushar Vaidya

We propose a new model for the forecasting of both the implied volatility surfaces and the underlying asset price. In the spirit of Guyon and Lekeufack (2023) who are interested in the dependence of volatility indices (e.g. the VIX) on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Hervé Andrès , Alexandre Boumezoued , Benjamin Jourdain

Techniques from deep learning play a more and more important role for the important task of calibration of financial models. The pioneering paper by Hernandez [Risk, 2017] was a catalyst for resurfacing interest in research in this area. In…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-26 Christian Bayer , Blanka Horvath , Aitor Muguruza , Benjamin Stemper , Mehdi Tomas