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While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We introduce a new model of financial market with stochastic volatility driven by an arbitrary H\"older continuous Gaussian Volterra process. The distinguishing feature of the model is the form of the volatility equation which ensures the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

Recently, deep learning techniques are gradually replacing traditional statistical and machine learning models as the first choice for price forecasting tasks. In this paper, we leverage probabilistic deep learning for inferring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Héctor J. Hortúa , Andrés Mora-Valencia

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Deep learning is an increasingly popular approach for inverting surface wave dispersion curves to obtain Vs profiles. However, its generalizability is constrained by the depth and velocity scales of training data. We propose a unified deep…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-09-30 Tianjian Cheng , Hongrui Xu , Jiayu Feng , Xiongyu Hu , Chaofan Yao

We consider the problem of finding model-independent bounds on the price of an Asian option, when the call prices at the maturity date of the option are known. Our methods differ from most approaches to model-independent pricing in that we…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-21 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sigrid Källblad

Background: In medical imaging, images are usually treated as deterministic, while their uncertainties are largely underexplored. Purpose: This work aims at using deep learning to efficiently estimate posterior distributions of imaging…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Xiaofeng Liu , Thibault Marin , Tiss Amal , Jonghye Woo , Georges El Fakhri , Jinsong Ouyang

We explore credit risk pricing by modeling equity as a call option and debt as the difference between the firm's asset value and a put option, following the structural framework of the Merton model. Our approach proceeds in two stages:…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Jagdish Gnawali , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We propose a universal end-to-end framework for portfolio optimization where asset distributions are directly obtained. The designed framework circumvents the traditional forecasting step and avoids the estimation of the covariance matrix,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-18 Chao Zhang , Zihao Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Stefan Zohren

We propose a deep learning approach to study the minimal variance pricing and hedging problem in an incomplete jump diffusion market. It is based upon a rigorous stochastic calculus derivation of the optimal hedging portfolio, optimal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-19 Nacira Agram , Bernt Øksendal , Jan Rems

We estimate prices of exotic options in a discrete-time model-free setting when the trader has access to market prices of a rich enough class of exotic and vanilla options. This is achieved by estimating an unobservable quantity called…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-26 Terry Lyons , Sina Nejad , Imanol Perez Arribas

In this work we propose a method based on geometric deep learning to predict the complete surface of the liver, given a partial point cloud of the organ obtained during the surgical laparoscopic procedure. We introduce a new data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Simone Foti , Bongjin Koo , Thomas Dowrick , Joao Ramalhinho , Moustafa Allam , Brian Davidson , Danail Stoyanov , Matthew J. Clarkson

We investigate the use of path signatures in a machine learning context for hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models. In a deep learning setting, we use signatures as features in feedforward neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

Algorithmic pricing raises a question of interpretation as well as intervention: when autonomous deep-learning pricing systems sustain supracompetitive prices, what strategic pattern have they learned, and how might market institutions…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Soumen Banerjee

Deep learning is a powerful tool whose applications in quantitative finance are growing every day. Yet, artificial neural networks behave as black boxes and this hinders validation and accountability processes. Being able to interpret the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-20 Damiano Brigo , Xiaoshan Huang , Andrea Pallavicini , Haitz Saez de Ocariz Borde

This paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm for financial portfolio trading based on Deep Q-learning. The algorithm is capable of trading high-dimensional portfolios from cross-sectional datasets of any size which may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Uta Pigorsch , Sebastian Schäfer

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

We analyze the empirical performance of several non-parametric estimators of the pricing functional for European options, using historical put and call prices on the S&P500 during the year 2012. Two main families of estimators are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-06 Carlo Marinelli , Stefano d'Addona

The OECD pointed out that the best way to keep students up to school is to intervene as early as possible [1]. Using education big data and deep learning to predict student's score provides new resources and perspectives for early…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Yang Zhang , Mingming Lu

The volatility fitting is one of the core problems in the equity derivatives business. Through a set of deterministic rules, the degrees of freedom in the implied volatility surface encoding (parametrization, density, diffusion) are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-16 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Omar Karkar , Imad Idboufous
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