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Model averaging (MA), a technique for combining estimators from a set of candidate models, has attracted increasing attention in machine learning and statistics. In the existing literature, there is an implicit understanding that MA can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Jingfu Peng

Multiple data sources are becoming increasingly available for statistical analyses in the era of big data. As an important example in finite-population inference, we consider an imputation approach to combining a probability sample with big…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

In this paper, we consider an estimation problem of the regression coefficients in multiple regression models with several unknown change-points. Under some realistic assumptions, we propose a class of estimators which includes as a special…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-07 Fuqi Chen , Sévérien Nkurunziza

Motivated by the increasing use of and rapid changes in array technologies, we consider the prediction problem of fitting a linear regression relating a continuous outcome $Y$ to a large number of covariates $\mathbf {X}$, for example,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-13 Philip S. Boonstra , Bhramar Mukherjee , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

The estimation of an f-divergence between two probability distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Most works study this problem under very weak assumptions, in which case it is provably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Paul K. Rubenstein , Olivier Bousquet , Josip Djolonga , Carlos Riquelme , Ilya Tolstikhin

Distributed statistical inference has recently attracted enormous attention. Many existing work focuses on the averaging estimator. We propose a one-step approach to enhance a simple-averaging based distributed estimator. We derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-11 Cheng Huang , Xiaoming Huo

This paper explores the estimation of a panel data model with cross-sectional interaction that is flexible both in its approach to specifying the network of connections between cross-sectional units, and in controlling for unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Ayden Higgins , Federico Martellosio

Estimating mutual information (MI) is a fundamental yet challenging task in data science and machine learning. This work proposes a new estimator for mutual information. Our main discovery is that a preliminary estimate of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Yanzhi Chen , Zijing Ou , Adrian Weller , Yingzhen Li

We develop a novel and general framework for reduced-bias $M$-estimation from asymptotically unbiased estimating functions. The framework relies on an empirical approximation of the bias by a function of derivatives of estimating function…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-11 Ioannis Kosmidis , Nicola Lunardon

In the present study, we propose a new estimator for population mean of the study variable y in the case of stratified random sampling using the information based on auxiliary variable x. Expression for the mean squared error (MSE) of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-25 Sachin Malik , Viplav Kumar Singh , Rajesh Singh

This paper introduces a new class of robust estimates for ARMA models. They are M-estimates, but the residuals are computed so the effect of one outlier is limited to the period where it occurs. These estimates are closely related to those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-02 Nora Muler , Daniel Peña , Víctor J. Yohai

In this paper we focus on the estimation of mutual information from finite samples $(\mathcal{X}\times\mathcal{Y})$. The main concern with estimations of mutual information is their robustness under the class of transformations for which it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-04 Nicholas Carrara , Jesse Ernst

Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Although applications of probabilistic prediction and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

In a real expert system, one may have unreliable, unconfident, conflicting estimates of the value for a particular parameter. It is important for decision making that the information present in this aggregate somehow find its way into use.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Henry Hamburger

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

For the estimation of cumulative link models for ordinal data, the bias-reducing adjusted score equations in \citet{firth:93} are obtained, whose solution ensures an estimator with smaller asymptotic bias than the maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

A method for implicit variable selection in mixture of experts frameworks is proposed. We introduce a prior structure where information is taken from a set of independent covariates. Robust class membership predictors are identified using a…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-15 Gregor Zens

The main objective of this paper is to apply linear and pretest shrinkage estimation techniques to estimating the parameters of two 2-parameter Burr-XII distributions. Further more, predictions for future observations are made using both…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Soheila Akbari Bargoshadi , Hossein Bevrani

Many observational studies and clinical trials collect various secondary outcomes that may be highly correlated with the primary endpoint. These secondary outcomes are often analyzed in secondary analyses separately from the main data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-08 Chixiang Chen , Ming Wang , Shuo Chen

This paper studies policy evaluation with multiple data sources, especially in scenarios that involve one experimental dataset with two arms, complemented by a historical dataset generated under a single control arm. We propose novel data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Ting Li , Chengchun Shi , Qianglin Wen , Yang Sui , Yongli Qin , Chunbo Lai , Hongtu Zhu