English

Robust estimation for ARMA models

Statistics Theory 2009-04-02 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

This paper introduces a new class of robust estimates for ARMA models. They are M-estimates, but the residuals are computed so the effect of one outlier is limited to the period where it occurs. These estimates are closely related to those based on a robust filter, but they have two important advantages: they are consistent and the asymptotic theory is tractable. We perform a Monte Carlo where we show that these estimates compare favorably with respect to standard M-estimates and to estimates based on a diagnostic procedure.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.0904.0106,
  title  = {Robust estimation for ARMA models},
  author = {Nora Muler and Daniel Peña and Víctor J. Yohai},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0904.0106},
  year   = {2009}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/07-AOS570 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)

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