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We present a novel distributionally robust framework for dynamic programming that uses kernel methods to design feedback control policies. Specifically, we leverage kernel mean embedding to map the transition probabilities governing the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Licio Romao , Ashish R. Hota , Alessandro Abate

Conformal prediction yields a prediction set with guaranteed $1-\alpha$ coverage of the true target under the i.i.d. assumption, which may not hold and lead to a gap between $1-\alpha$ and the actual coverage. Prior studies bound the gap…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Rui Xu , Chao Chen , Yue Sun , Parvathinathan Venkitasubramaniam , Sihong Xie

In this paper we consider distributed adaptive stabilization for uncertain multivariable linear systems with a time-varying diagonal matrix gain. We show that uncertain multivariable linear systems are stabilizable by diagonal matrix high…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-31 Zhiyong Sun , Anders Rantzer , Zhongkui Li , Anders Robertsson

We refer to recent inference methodology and formulate a framework for solving the distributionally robust optimization problem, where the true probability measure is inside a Wasserstein ball around the empirical measure and the radius of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-28 Xin Hai , Kihun Nam

Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Zhi Chen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

Locally stationary (LSPs) constitute an essential modeling paradigm for capturing the nuanced dynamics inherent in time series data whose statistical characteristics, including mean and variance, evolve smoothly across time. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Jan Nino G. Tinio , Mokhtar Z. Alaya , Salim Bouzebda

Robust control is a core approach for controlling systems with performance guarantees that are robust to modeling error, and is widely used in real-world systems. However, current robust control approaches can only handle small system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Dimitar Ho , Hoang M. Le , John C. Doyle , Yisong Yue

Ensemble systems appear frequently in many engineering applications and, as a result, they have become an important research topic in control theory. These systems are best characterized by the evolution of their underlying state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Guangyu Wu , Panagiotis Tsiotras , Anders Lindquist

State estimation in water distribution networks (WDN), the problem of estimating all unknown network heads and flows given select measurements, is challenging due to the nonconvexity of hydraulic models and significant uncertainty from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Shen Wang , Ahmad F. Taha , Nikolaos Gatsis , Lina Sela , Marcio Giacomoni

Robust autonomy stacks require tight integration of perception, motion planning, and control layers, but these layers often inadequately incorporate inherent perception and prediction uncertainties, either ignoring them altogether or making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-06 Venkatraman Renganathan , Sleiman Safaoui , Aadi Kothari , Benjamin Gravell , Iman Shames , Tyler Summers

This work addresses the challenge of ignition timing and load control in homogeneous charge compression ignition engines operating subject to uncertainty from complex combustion dynamics and external disturbances. To handle this issue, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-15 Xu Chen , Kevin Kluge , Maximilian Basler , Lorenz Dörschel , Heike Vallery

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

We present a model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear stochastic systems that ensures safety guarantee with high probability. Unlike most existing stochastic MPC schemes, our method adopts a set-erosion that converts the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Zishun Liu , Liqian Ma , Yongxin Chen

Change point detection for time series analysis is a difficult and important problem in applied statistics, for which a variety of approaches have been developed in the past several decades. Here, the Wasserstein metric is employed as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 David Gentile , Joshua Huang , James M. Murphy

We develop a generalized stability framework for stochastic discrete-time systems, where the generality pertains to the ways in which the distribution of the state energy can be characterized. We use tools from finance and operations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Margaret P. Chapman , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

In behavioral finance, aversion affects investors' judgment of future uncertainty when profit and loss occur. Considering investors' aversion to loss and risk, and the ambiguous uncertainty characterizing asset returns, we construct a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Xin Zhang

We consider statistical methods which invoke a min-max distributionally robust formulation to extract good out-of-sample performance in data-driven optimization and learning problems. Acknowledging the distributional uncertainty in learning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy , Viet Anh Nguyen

This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-22 Fei Li , Huiping Li , Yuyao He

We provide a functional view of distributional robustness motivated by robust statistics and functional analysis. This results in two practical computational approaches for approximate distributionally robust nonlinear optimization based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-27 Yassine Nemmour , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jia-Jie Zhu

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei
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