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In the online multiple testing problem, p-values corresponding to different null hypotheses are observed one by one, and the decision of whether or not to reject the current hypothesis must be made immediately, after which the next p-value…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-03 Aaditya Ramdas , Fanny Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

In many scientific applications, hypotheses are generated and tested continuously in a stream. We develop a framework for improving online multiple testing procedures with false discovery rate (FDR) control under arbitrary dependence. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Ziyu Xu , Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider the problem of asynchronous online testing, aimed at providing control of the false discovery rate (FDR) during a continual stream of data collection and testing, where each test may be a sequential test that can start and stop…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Tijana Zrnic , Aaditya Ramdas , Michael I. Jordan

Consider the online testing of a stream of hypotheses where a real--time decision must be made before the next data point arrives. The error rate is required to be controlled at {all} decision points. Conventional \emph{simultaneous testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 Bowen Gang , Wenguang Sun , Weinan Wang

In the context of multiple hypotheses testing, the proportion $\pi_0$ of true null hypotheses in the pool of hypotheses to test often plays a crucial role, although it is generally unknown a priori. A testing procedure using an implicit or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-17 Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Conformalized multiple testing offers a model-free way to control predictive uncertainty in decision-making. Existing methods typically use only part of the available data to build score functions tailored to specific settings. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Yuyang Huo , Xiaoyang Wu , Changliang Zou , Haojie Ren

We consider the problem of multiple hypothesis testing with generic side information: for each hypothesis $H_i$ we observe both a p-value $p_i$ and some predictor $x_i$ encoding contextual information about the hypothesis. For large-scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-26 Lihua Lei , William Fithian

Online testing procedures assume that hypotheses are observed in sequence, and allow the significance thresholds for upcoming tests to depend on the test statistics observed so far. Some of the most popular online methods include alpha…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-11 Aaron Fisher

In hypothesis testing, a false discovery occurs when a hypothesis is incorrectly rejected due to noise in the sample. When adaptively testing multiple hypotheses, the probability of a false discovery increases as more tests are performed.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-22 Wanrong Zhang , Gautam Kamath , Rachel Cummings

Multiple hypothesis testing, a situation when we wish to consider many hypotheses, is a core problem in statistical inference that arises in almost every scientific field. In this setting, controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Shiyun Chen , Shiva Kasiviswanathan

We propose an alternative framework to existing setups for controlling false alarms when multiple A/B tests are run over time. This setup arises in many practical applications, e.g. when pharmaceutical companies test new treatment options…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Fanny Yang , Aaditya Ramdas , Kevin Jamieson , Martin J. Wainwright

Online testing procedures aim to control the extent of false discoveries over a sequence of hypothesis tests, allowing for the possibility that early-stage test results influence the choice of hypotheses to be tested in later stages.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Aaron Fisher

Efforts to develop more efficient multiple hypothesis testing procedures for false discovery rate (FDR) control have focused on incorporating an estimate of the proportion of true null hypotheses (such procedures are called adaptive) or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Joshua D. Habiger

We propose sequential multiple testing procedures which control the false discover rate (FDR) or the positive false discovery rate (pFDR) under arbitrary dependence between the data streams. This is accomplished by "optimizing" an upper…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Michael Hankin , Jay Bartroff

In modern scientific experiments, we frequently encounter data that have large dimensions, and in some experiments, such high dimensional data arrive sequentially rather than full data being available all at a time. We develop multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 Rahul Roy , Shyamal K. De , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Counterfactual examples are minimal edits to an input that alter a model's prediction. They are widely employed in explainable AI to probe model behavior and in natural language processing (NLP) to augment training data. However, generating…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yilong Wang , Qianli Wang , Nils Feldhus

We introduce an Integrative Ranking and Thresholding (IRT) framework for fusing evidence from multiple testing procedures. The key innovation is a method that transforms binary testing decisions into compound $e-$values, enabling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Trambak Banerjee , Bowen Gang , Jianliang He

In online multiple testing, an a priori unknown number of hypotheses are tested sequentially, i.e. at each time point a test decision for the current hypothesis has to be made using only the data available so far. Although many powerful…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Vincent Jankovic , Lasse Fischer , Werner Brannath

We propose a new empirical Bayes method for covariate-assisted multiple testing with false discovery rate (FDR) control, where we model the local false discovery rate for each hypothesis as a function of both its covariates and p-value. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Patrick Chao , William Fithian

While E-commerce has been growing explosively and online shopping has become popular and even dominant in the present era, online transaction fraud control has drawn considerable attention in business practice and academic research.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Junxuan Li , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Jay Nanduri
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