English

Asynchronous Online Testing of Multiple Hypotheses

Methodology 2020-08-25 v2 Machine Learning Statistics Theory Machine Learning Statistics Theory

Abstract

We consider the problem of asynchronous online testing, aimed at providing control of the false discovery rate (FDR) during a continual stream of data collection and testing, where each test may be a sequential test that can start and stop at arbitrary times. This setting increasingly characterizes real-world applications in science and industry, where teams of researchers across large organizations may conduct tests of hypotheses in a decentralized manner. The overlap in time and space also tends to induce dependencies among test statistics, a challenge for classical methodology, which either assumes (overly optimistically) independence or (overly pessimistically) arbitrary dependence between test statistics. We present a general framework that addresses both of these issues via a unified computational abstraction that we refer to as "conflict sets." We show how this framework yields algorithms with formal FDR guarantees under a more intermediate, local notion of dependence. We illustrate our algorithms in simulations by comparing to existing algorithms for online FDR control.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1812.05068,
  title  = {Asynchronous Online Testing of Multiple Hypotheses},
  author = {Tijana Zrnic and Aaditya Ramdas and Michael I. Jordan},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1812.05068},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

36 pages, 16 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T06:40:29.563Z