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The non-equilibrium phase transition in models for epidemic spreading with long-range infections in combination with incubation times is investigated by field-theoretical and numerical methods. Here the spreading process is modelled by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Julian Adamek , Michael Keller , Arne Senftleben , Haye Hinrichsen

We study a system of simple random walks on $\mathcal{T}_{d,n} = \mathcal{V}_{d,n}, \mathcal{E}_{d,n})$, the $d$-ary tree of depth $n$, known as the frog model. Initially there are Pois($\lambda$) particles at each site, independently, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Jonathan Hermon

We formulate and analyze a novel hypothesis testing problem for inferring the edge structure of an infection graph. In our model, a disease spreads over a network via contagion or random infection, where the random variables governing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

The theme of this paper is the analysis of bootstrap percolation processes on random graphs generated by preferential attachment. This is a class of infection processes where vertices have two states: they are either infected or…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Mohammed Amin Abdullah , Nikolaos Fountoulakis

We study the contact process in a dynamical random environment defined on the vertices and edges of a graph. For a broad class of processes, we establish an asymptotic shape theorem for the set H_t, which represents the vertices that have…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Michel Reitmeier , Marco Seiler

The spread of one disease, in some cases, can stimulate the spreading of another infectious disease. Here, we treat analytically a symmetric coinfection model for spreading of two diseases on a two-layer multiplex network. We allow layer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-20 N. Azimi-Tafreshi

We consider an interacting particle process on a graph which, from a macroscopic point of view, looks like $\Z^d$ and, at a microscopic level, is a complete graph of degree $N$ (called a patch). There are two birth rates: an inter-patch one…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-21 Lamia Belhadji , Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

When an infectious disease outbreak is of a relatively small size, describing the ancestry of a sample of infected individuals is difficult because most ancestral models assume large population sizes. Given a set of infected individuals, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Xavier Didelot , David Helekal , Ian Roberts

Most of the published articles on random motions have been devoted to the study of the telegraph process or its generalizations that describe the random motion in $R^n$ of a single particle in a Markov or semi-Markov medium. However, up to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 A. A. Pogorui

Dynamical systems running on the top of complex networks has been extensively investigated for decades. But this topic still remains among the most relevant issues in complex network theory due to its range of applicability. The contact…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Angélica S. Mata

Infectious disease outbreaks have precipitated a profusion of mathematical models. Epidemic curves predicted by these models are typically qualitatively similar, despite distinct model assumptions, but there is no theoretical explanation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-23 David J. D. Earn , Todd L. Parsons

We consider a threshold epidemic model on a clustered random graph with overlapping communities. In other words, our epidemic model is such that an individual becomes infected as soon as the proportion of her infected neighbors exceeds the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

A theory of the spread of epidemics is formulated on the basis of pairwise interactions in a dilute system of random walkers (infected and susceptible animals) moving in n dimensions. The motion of an animal pair is taken to obey a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-08-26 V. M. Kenkre , S. Sugaya

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini

In epidemic modeling, the term infection strength indicates the ratio of infection rate and cure rate. If the infection strength is higher than a certain threshold -- which we define as the epidemic threshold - then the epidemic spreads…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-19 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio , Fahmida N. Chowdhury

We show that disease transmission models in a spatially heterogeneous environment can have a large number of coexisting endemic equilibria. A general compartmental model is considered to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Diána H. Knipl , Gergely Röst

Epidemics seldom occur as isolated phenomena. Typically, two or more viral agents spread within the same host population and may interact dynamically with each other. We present a general model where two viral agents interact via an…

We analyze four models of epidemic spreading using a stochastic approach in which the primary stochastic variables are the numbers of individuals in each class. The stochastic approach is described by a master equation and the transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira