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We rigorously investigate the convergence of a new numerical method, recently proposed by the authors, to approximate the reproduction numbers of a large class of age-structured population models with finite age span. The method consists in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio

As widely known, the basic reproduction number plays a key role in weighing birth/infection and death/recovery processes in several models of population dynamics. In this general setting, its characterization as the spectral radius of next…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Dimitri Breda , Francesco Florian , Jordi Ripoll , Rossana Vermiglio

In this paper, we introduce a general numerical method to approximate the reproduction numbers of a large class of multi-group, age-structured, population models with a finite age span. To provide complete flexibility in the definition of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio

The basic reproduction number $R_0$ is a fundamental quantity in epidemiological modeling, reflecting the typical number of secondary infections that arise from a single infected individual. While $R_0$ is widely known to scientists,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Kevin D. Smith , Francesco Bullo

Accurate epidemic forecasting requires models that account for the layered and heterogeneous nature of real social interactions. The basic reproduction number $\mathcal R_0$ calculated from models that assume homogeneous mixing or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-15 Eric Alejandro Rozan , Mario Ignacio Simoy , Sebastian Bouzat , Marcelo Nestor Kuperman

The basic reproduction number ($R_0$) is an epidemiological metric that represents the average number of new infections caused by a single infectious individual in a completely susceptible population. The methodology for calculating this…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Trevor Reckell , Beckett Sterner , Petar Jevtić

In the framework of population dynamics, the basic reproduction number R_0 is, by definition, the expected number of offspring that an individual has during its lifetime. In constant and time periodic environments it is calculated as the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Carles Barril , Àngel Calsina , Sílvia Cuadrado , Jordi Ripoll

For a heterogeneous host population, the basic reproduction number of an infectious disease, $\cR_0$, is defined as the spectral radius of the next generation operator (NGO). The threshold properties of the basic reproduction number are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-29 Horst R Thieme

In this paper, we provide a straightforward approach to defining and deriving the key epidemiological quantity, the basic reproduction number, $R_0$, for Markovian epidemics in structured populations. The methodology derived is applicable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-26 Peter Neal , Thitiya Theparod

The basic reproduction number R0 is a concept which originated in population dynamics, mathematical epidemiology, and ecology and is closely related to the mean number of children in branching processes.We offer below three new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-30 Florin Avram , Rim Adenane , Lasko Basnarkov , Matthew Johnston

The basic reproduction number, $R_0$ is an important and widely used concept in the study of infectious diseases. We briefly review the recent trend of calculating the average of various $R_0$ estimates in systematic reviews aimed at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-13 Pratyush K. Kollepara , Joel C. Miller

In this paper we consider epidemic models of directly transmissible SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) and SEIR (with an additional latent class) infections in fully-susceptible populations with a social structure, consisting…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-11 Frank Ball , Lorenzo Pellis , Pieter Trapman

In this paper, we study a reaction-diffusion vector-host epidemic model. We define the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and show that $R_0$ is a threshold parameter: if $R_0\le 1$ the disease free steady state is globally stable; if $R_0>1$…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Pierre Magal , G. F. Webb , Yixiang Wu

Epidemic models are a valuable tool in the decision making process. Once a mathematical model for an epidemics has been established, the very next step is calculating a mathematical expression for the basic reproductive number, $R_0$, which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Carlos Hernandez-Suarez , Osval Montesinos Lopez

A basic reproduction number, $R_0$, is a concept encountered frequently in the study of ecological and epidemiological models. It is routinely used to determine the stability of an extinction or a disease-free fixed point or steady state.…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Zachary Gregg , Patrick De Leenheer

When an infectious disease strikes a population, the number of newly reported cases is often the only available information that one can obtain during early stages of the outbreak. An important goal of early outbreak analysis is to obtain a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-30 Bahman Davoudi , Babak Pourbohloul , Joel Miller , Rafael Meza , Lauren Ancel Meyers , David J. D. Earn

The basic reproductive number -- $R_0$ -- is one of the most common and most commonly misapplied numbers in public health. Although often used to compare outbreaks and forecast pandemic risk, this single number belies the complexity that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-15 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Benjamin M. Althouse , Samuel V. Scarpino , Antoine Allard

Reproduction numbers, like the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$, play an important role in the analysis and application of dynamic models, including contagion models and ecological population models. One difficulty in deriving…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-25 Paul J. Hurtado , Cameron Richards

Structured epidemic models can be formulated as first-order hyperbolic PDEs, where the "spatial" variables represent individual traits, called structures. For models with two structures, we propose a numerical technique to approximate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Dimitri Breda , Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio , Jianhong Wu

We study a multitype SIR epidemic model where individuals are categorized into different types, and where infection spread is characterized by a next-generation matrix $M=\{m_{ij}\}$ with community fractions $\{\pi_j\}$ for the different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-10 Andrea Bizzotto , Frank Ball , Tom Britton
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