A simple and intuitive method to calculate $R_0$ in complex epidemic models
Populations and Evolution
2022-09-07 v2 Probability
Abstract
Epidemic models are a valuable tool in the decision making process. Once a mathematical model for an epidemics has been established, the very next step is calculating a mathematical expression for the basic reproductive number, , which is the average number of infections caused by an individual that is introduced in a population of susceptibles. Finding a mathematical expression for is important because it allows to analyze the effect of the different parameters in the model on so that we can act on them to keep , so that the epidemic fades out. In this work we show how to calculate in complicated epidemic models by using only basic concepts of Markov chains.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2208.11509,
title = {A simple and intuitive method to calculate $R_0$ in complex epidemic models},
author = {Carlos Hernandez-Suarez and Osval Montesinos Lopez},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2208.11509},
year = {2022}
}
Comments
PDF has 26 pages and contains 13 figures