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Related papers: TECP: Token-Entropy Conformal Prediction for LLMs

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Vision-language models (VLMs) achieve remarkable performance but remain vulnerable to adversarial attacks. Entropy, as a measure of model uncertainty, is highly correlated with VLM reliability. While prior entropy-based attacks maximize…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Mengqi He , Xinyu Tian , Xin Shen , Jinhong Ni , Shu Zou , Zhaoyuan Yang , Jing Zhang

Uncertainty estimation in multi-LLM systems remains largely single-model-centric: existing methods quantify uncertainty within each model but do not adequately capture semantic disagreement across models. To address this gap, we propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Kangkang Sun , Jun Wu , Jianhua Li , Minyi Guo , Xiuzhen Che , Jianwei Huang

Conformal Prediction (CP) serves as a robust framework that quantifies uncertainty in predictions made by Machine Learning (ML) models. Unlike traditional point predictors, CP generates statistically valid prediction regions, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 A. A. Balinsky , A. D. Balinsky

Transformer-based language models have set new benchmarks across a wide range of NLP tasks, yet reliably estimating the uncertainty of their predictions remains a significant challenge. Existing uncertainty estimation (UE) techniques often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Elizaveta Kostenok , Daniil Cherniavskii , Alexey Zaytsev

This paper presents a command-line tool, called Entropia, that implements a family of conformance checking measures for process mining founded on the notion of entropy from information theory. The measures allow quantifying classical…

Uncertainty quantification has received considerable interest in recent works in Machine Learning. In particular, Conformal Prediction (CP) gains ground in this field. For the case of time series, Online Conformal Prediction (OCP) becomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Théo Dupuy , Binbin Xu , Stéphane Perrey , Jacky Montmain , Abdelhak Imoussaten

We study the problem of quantifying epistemic predictive uncertainty (EPU) -- that is, uncertainty faced at prediction time due to the existence of multiple plausible predictive models -- within the framework of conformal prediction (CP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Siu Lun Chau , Soroush H. Zargarbashi , Yusuf Sale , Michele Caprio

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

Balanced and efficient information flow is essential for optimizing language generation models. In this work, we propose Entropy-UID, a new token selection method that balances entropy and Uniform Information Density (UID) principles for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Xinpeng Shou

Training long-context language models to capture long-range dependencies requires specialized data construction. Current approaches, such as generic text concatenation or heuristic-based variants, frequently fail to guarantee genuine…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Junlong Jia , Ziyang Chen , Xing Wu , Chaochen Gao , Zijia Lin , Debing Zhang , Songlin Hu , Binghui Guo

Large Language Models (LLMs) that can express interpretable and calibrated uncertainty are crucial in high-stakes domains. While methods to compute uncertainty post-hoc exist, they are often sampling-based and therefore computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Azza Jenane , Nassim Walha , Lukas Kuhn , Florian Buettner

When one observes a sequence of variables $(x_1, y_1), \ldots, (x_n, y_n)$, Conformal Prediction (CP) is a methodology that allows to estimate a confidence set for $y_{n+1}$ given $x_{n+1}$ by merely assuming that the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye

This paper presents a class of new fast non-trainable entropy-based confidence estimation methods for automatic speech recognition. We show how per-frame entropy values can be normalized and aggregated to obtain a confidence measure per…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-09 Aleksandr Laptev , Boris Ginsburg

An effective way to scale up test-time compute of large language models is to sample multiple responses and then select the best one, as in Grok Heavy and Gemini Deep Think. Existing selection methods often rely on external reward models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Wenshuo Zhao , Qi Zhu , Xingshan Zeng , Fei Mi , Lifeng Shang , Yi R. , Fung

The last decade's research in artificial intelligence had a significant impact on the advance of autonomous driving. Yet, safety remains a major concern when it comes to deploying such systems in high-risk environments. The objective of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Charles Corbière

The rapid proliferation of large language models and natural language processing (NLP) applications creates a crucial need for uncertainty quantification to mitigate risks such as hallucinations and to enhance decision-making reliability in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Margarida M. Campos , António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Mário A. T. Figueiredo , André F. T. Martins

Textual Concept Bottleneck Models (TCBMs) are interpretable-by-design models for text classification that predict a set of salient concepts before making the final prediction. This paper proposes Complete Textual Concept Bottleneck Model…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Milan Bhan , Yann Choho , Pierre Moreau , Jean-Noel Vittaut , Nicolas Chesneau , Marie-Jeanne Lesot

Logit-based LLM watermarking traces and verifies AI-generated content by maintaining green and red token lists and increasing the likelihood of green tokens during generation. However, it fails in low-entropy scenarios, where predictable…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Tianle Gu , Zongqi Wang , Kexin Huang , Yuanqi Yao , Xiangliang Zhang , Yujiu Yang , Xiuying Chen

Large Language Models (LLMs) increasingly rely on multi-turn reasoning and interaction, such as adaptive retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) and ReAct-style agents, to answer difficult questions. These methods improve accuracy by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xiaofan Zhou , Huy Nguyen , Bo Yu , Chenxi Liu , Lu Cheng

We present a novel approach to selective model quantization that transcends the limitations of architecture-specific and size-dependent compression methods for Large Language Models (LLMs) using Entropy-Weighted Quantization (EWQ). By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Alireza Behtash , Marijan Fofonjka , Ethan Baird , Tyler Mauer , Hossein Moghimifam , David Stout , Joel Dennison