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Networks are landmarks of many complex phenomena where interweaving interactions between different agents transform simple local rule-sets into nonlinear emergent behaviors. While some recent studies unveil associations between the network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Ali Tavasoli , Teague Henry , Heman Shakeri

Despite the recent development of methods dealing with partially observed epidemic dynamics (unobserved model coordinates, discrete and noisy outbreak data), limitations remain in practice, mainly related to the quantity of augmented data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-26 Romain Narci , Maud Delattre , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

We develop a new generalization of Koopman operator theory that incorporates the effects of inputs and control. Koopman spectral analysis is a theoretical tool for the analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems. Moreover, Koopman is intimately…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-25 Joshua L. Proctor , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

The Koopman operator serves as the theoretical backbone for machine learning of dynamical control systems, where the operator is heuristically approximated by extended dynamic mode decomposition (EDMD). In this paper, we propose SafEDMD, a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-23 Robin Strässer , Manuel Schaller , Karl Worthmann , Julian Berberich , Frank Allgöwer

This paper is concerned with nonlinear modeling and analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic currently ravaging the planet. There are two objectives: to arrive at an appropriate model that captures the collected data faithfully, and to use that as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-15 C. A. K. Kwuimy , Foad Nazari , Xun Jiao , Pejman Rohani , C. Nataraj

Koopman analysis provides a general framework from which to analyze a nonlinear dynamical system in terms of a linear operator acting on an infinite-dimensional observable space. This theoretical framework provides a rigorous underpinning…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Dan Wilson

Estimation of epidemiological and population parameters from molecular sequence data has become central to the understanding of infectious disease dynamics. Various models have been proposed to infer details of the dynamics that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-25 Alex Popinga , Tim Vaughan , Tanja Stadler , Alexei Drummond

The growing literature on the propagation of COVID-19 relies on various dynamic SIR-type models (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) which yield model-dependent results. For transparency and ease of comparing the results, we introduce a common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-19 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

Approaches based on Koopman operators have shown great promise in forecasting time series data generated by complex nonlinear dynamical systems (NLDS). Although such approaches are able to capture the latent state representation of a NLDS,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Ashutosh Singh , Ashish Singh , Tales Imbiriba , Deniz Erdogmus , Ricardo Borsoi

Nonlinear dynamical systems with symmetries exhibit a rich variety of behaviors, including complex attractor-basin portraits and enhanced and suppressed bifurcations. Symmetry arguments provide a way to study these collective behaviors and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Anastasiya Salova , Jeffrey Emenheiser , Adam Rupe , James P. Crutchfield , Raissa M. D'Souza

Understanding infectious disease spread remains a critical public health challenge, particularly given the interplay between household dynamics and community transmission patterns. Traditional epidemiological models often oversimplify these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Houda Yaqine , Christiane Fuchs

This paper proposes a robust nonlinear observer synthesis method for a population of systems modelled using the Koopman operator. The Koopman operator allows nonlinear systems to be rewritten as infinite-dimensional linear systems. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-03 Steven Dahdah , James Richard Forbes

We propose a novel method for forecasting the temporal evolution of probability distributions observed at discrete time points. Extending the Dynamic Probability Density Decomposition (DPDD), we embed distributional dynamics into…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Ziyue Wang , Yuko Araki

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

This paper presents a distributed Koopman operator learning framework for modeling unknown nonlinear dynamics using sequential observations from multiple agents. Each agent estimates a local Koopman approximation based on lifted data and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Ali Azarbahram , Shenyu Liu , Gian Paolo Incremona

The Koopman operator and its data-driven approximations, such as extended dynamic mode decomposition (EDMD), are widely used for analysing, modelling, and controlling nonlinear dynamical systems. However, when the true Koopman…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Roland Schurig , Pieter van Goor , Karl Worthmann , Rolf Findeisen

Controlling nonlinear dynamical systems remains a central challenge in a wide range of applications, particularly when accurate first-principle models are unavailable. Data-driven approaches offer a promising alternative by designing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-23 Robin Strässer , Karl Worthmann , Igor Mezić , Julian Berberich , Manuel Schaller , Frank Allgöwer

The Koopman operator framework can be used to identify a data-driven model of a nonlinear system. Unfortunately, when the data is corrupted by noise, the identified model can be biased. Additionally, depending on the choice of lifting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-02 Louis Lortie , James Richard Forbes

The paper presents an algorithm for syndromic surveillance of an epidemic outbreak formulated in the context of stochastic nonlinear filtering. The dynamics of the epidemic is modeled using a generalized compartmental epidemiological model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-24 Alex Skvortsov , Branko Ristic

Mathematical models of infectious diseases exhibit robust dynamics such as stable endemic or a disease-free equilibrium, or convergence of the solutions to periodic epidemic waves. The present work shows that the accuracy of such dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Hadeel AlQadi , Majid Bani-Yaghoub
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