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Related papers: A Bayesian framework for opinion dynamics models

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In this paper, we introduce a new framework for modelling the exchange of multiple arguments across agents in a social network. To date, most modelling work concerned with opinion dynamics, testimony, or communication across social networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Leon Assaad , Rafael Fuchs , Ammar Jalalimanesh , Kirsty Phillips , Klee Schöppl , Ulrike Hahn

Designing feasible control strategies for opinion dynamics in complex social systems has never been an easy task. It requires a control protocol which 1) is not enforced on all individuals in the society, and 2) does not exclusively rely on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-27 Wei Su , Xianzhong Chen , Yongguang Yu , Ge Chen

Mean-field equations have been developed recently to approximate the dynamics of the Deffuant model of opinion formation. These equations can describe both fully-mixed populations and the case where individuals interact only along edges of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-14 Alina Dubovskaya , Susan C. Fennell , Kevin Burke , James P. Gleeson , Doireann O'Kiely

We generalize the DeGroot model for opinion dynamics to better capture realistic social scenarios. We introduce a model where each agent has their own individual cognitive biases. Society is represented as a directed graph whose edges…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Mário S. Alvim , Artur Gaspar da Silva , Sophia Knight , Frank Valencia

Formal models of opinion formation commonly represent an individual's opinion by a value on a fixed opinion interval. We propose an alternative modeling method wherein interpretation is only provided to the relative positions of opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-03 Kit Ming Danny Chan , Robert Duivenvoorden , Andreas Flache , Michel Mandjes

Accurate comparisons between theoretical models and experimental data are critical for scientific progress. However, inferred physical model parameters can vary significantly with the chosen physics model, highlighting the importance of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-27 Sunil Jaiswal , Chun Shen , Richard J. Furnstahl , Ulrich Heinz , Matthew T. Pratola

In this paper we propose and investigate a multi-dimensional opinion dynamics model where people are characterised by both opinions and importance weights across these opinions. Opinion changes occur through binary interactions, with a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-12 Hanna Bartel , Martin Burger , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Examining the mechanisms underlying the formation and evolution of opinions within real-world social systems, which consist of numerous individuals, can provide valuable insights for effective social functioning and informed business…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Shanfan Zhang , Xiaoting Shen , Zhan Bu

Social media platforms have played a key role in weaponizing the polarization of social, political, and democratic processes. This is, mainly, because they are a medium for opinion formation. Opinion dynamic models are a tool for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Carlos Olarte , Carlos Ramírez , Camilo Rocha , Frank Valencia

Collective opinions affect civic participation, governance, and societal norms. Due to the influence of opinion dynamics, many models of their formation and evolution have been developed. A commonly used approach for the study of opinion…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Claudia Kann , Michelle Feng

We analyze boundedly rational updating from aggregate statistics in a model with binary actions and binary states. Agents each take an irreversible action in sequence after observing the unordered set of previous actions. Each agent first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Manuel Mueller-Frank

The flow of information reaching us via the online media platforms is optimized not by the information content or relevance but by popularity and proximity to the target. This is typically performed in order to maximise platform usage. As a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-19 Alina Sîrbu , Dino Pedreschi , Fosca Giannotti , János Kertész

Models of opinion dynamics aim to capture how individuals' opinions change when they interact with each other. One well-known model of opinion dynamics is the Deffuant--Weisbuch (DW) model, which is a type of bounded-confidence model (BCM).…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-25 Leila Thompsky , Yuexuan Yolanda Wu , Mason A. Porter , Jiajie Luo

This paper examines the interplay of opinion exchange dynamics and communication network formation. An opinion formation procedure is introduced which is based on an abstract representation of opinions as $k$--dimensional bit--strings.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-10-24 S. Banisch , T. Araújo , J. Louçã

Large Language Models are increasingly used to simulate human opinion dynamics, yet the effect of genuine interaction is often obscured by systematic biases. We develop a Bayesian framework to disentangle and quantify three such biases: (i)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-25 Vincent C. Brockers , David A. Ehrlich , Viola Priesemann

In the social, behavioral, and economic sciences, it is an important problem to predict which individual opinions will eventually dominate in a large population, if there will be a consensus, and how long it takes a consensus to form. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-28 X. Flora Meng , Robert A. Van Gorder , Mason A. Porter

Online social media platforms enable influencers to distribute content and quickly capture audience reactions, significantly shaping their promotional strategies and advertising agreements. Understanding how sentiment dynamics and emotional…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Yulong He , Anton V. Proskurnikov , Artem Sedakov

In a previous paper we proposed a model to study the dynamics of opinion formation in human societies by a co-evolution process involving two distinct time scales of fast transaction and slower network evolution dynamics. In the transaction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-22 Gerardo Iñiguez , Rafael A. Barrio , János Kertész , Kimmo K. Kaski

We introduce and study the problem of detecting whether an agent is updating their prior beliefs given new evidence in an optimal way that is Bayesian, or whether they are biased towards their own prior. In our model, biased agents form…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Yiling Chen , Tao Lin , Ariel D. Procaccia , Aaditya Ramdas , Itai Shapira

We propose a modeling framework to develop a continuum description of opinion dynamics on networks as an alternative to other models, like the ones based on graphons. In a nutshell, the continuum model that we propose aims at approximating…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Gianluca Favre , Gaspard Jankowiak , Sara Merino-Aceituno , Lara Trussardi
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