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Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

Defining a causal estimand for a longitudinal outcome truncated by death is challenging, because the outcome may be undefined at the end of follow-up. Although a range of estimands and several estimators have been proposed, guidance on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Juliette Ortholand , Young Lee , Marie-Abele C Bind

Random forests are a statistical learning technique that use bootstrap aggregation to average high-variance and low-bias trees. Improvements to random forests, such as applying Lasso regression to the tree predictions, have been proposed in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-13 Jing Shang , James Bannon , Benjamin Haibe-Kains , Robert Tibshirani

Binary trait data record the presence or absence of distinguishing traits in individuals. We treat the problem of estimating ancestral trees with time depth from binary trait data. Simple analysis of such data is problematic. Each homology…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-08-31 Geoff K. Nicholls , Russell D. Gray

We propose Causal Interaction Trees for identifying subgroups of participants that have enhanced treatment effects using observational data. We extend the Classification and Regression Tree algorithm by using splitting criteria that focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Jiabei Yang , Issa J. Dahabreh , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Boosting has garnered significant interest across both machine learning and statistical communities. Traditional boosting algorithms, designed for fully observed random samples, often struggle with real-world problems, particularly with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Yuan Bian , Grace Y. Yi , Wenqing He

We consider the analysis of high dimensional data given in the form of a matrix with columns consisting of observations and rows consisting of features. Often the data is such that the observations do not reside on a regular grid, and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-22 Gal Mishne , Ronen Talmon , Israel Cohen , Ronald R. Coifman , Yuval Kluger

The most fundamental problem in statistical causality is determining causal relationships from limited data. Probability trees, which combine prior causal structures with Bayesian updates, have been suggested as a possible solution. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Tue Herlau

Model performance is frequently reported only for the overall population under consideration. However, due to heterogeneity, overall performance measures often do not accurately represent model performance within specific subgroups. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ruotao Zhang , Constantine Gatsonis , Jon Steingrimsson

We present a new tree boosting algorithm designed for the measurement of parameters in the context of effective field theory (EFT). To construct the algorithm, we interpret the optimized loss function of a traditional decision tree as the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-05-25 Suman Chatterjee , Nikolaus Frohner , Lukas Lechner , Robert Schöfbeck , Dennis Schwarz

Individualized treatment rules can lead to better health outcomes when patients have heterogeneous responses to treatment. Very few individualized treatment rule estimation methods are compatible with a multi-treatment observational study…

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Qinxin Wang , Jiayuan Huang , Junhui Li , Jiaming Liu

Incorporating domain-specific constraints into machine learning models is essential for generating predictions that are both accurate and feasible in real-world applications. This paper introduces new methods for training Output-Constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Hüseyin Tunç , Doğanay Özese , Ş. İlker Birbil , Donato Maragno , Marco Caserta , Mustafa Baydoğan

In this paper, we consider a novel framework of positive-unlabeled data in which as positive data survival times are observed for subjects who have events during the observation time as positive data and as unlabeled data censoring times…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Tomoki Toyabe , Yasuhiro Hasegawa , Takahiro Hoshino

Heart failure is a life-threatening condition that affects millions of people worldwide. The ability to accurately predict patient survival can aid in early intervention and improve patient outcomes. In this study, we explore the potential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Md. Simul Hasan Talukder , Rejwan Bin Sulaiman , Mouli Bardhan Paul Angon

We propose a tree-based algorithm for classification and regression problems in the context of functional data analysis, which allows to leverage representation learning and multiple splitting rules at the node level, reducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Edoardo Belli , Simone Vantini

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

Counterfactual explanations are usually generated through heuristics that are sensitive to the search's initial conditions. The absence of guarantees of performance and robustness hinders trustworthiness. In this paper, we take a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Axel Parmentier , Thibaut Vidal

Sparse decision trees are one of the most common forms of interpretable models. While recent advances have produced algorithms that fully optimize sparse decision trees for prediction, that work does not address policy design, because the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Ali Behrouz , Mathias Lecuyer , Cynthia Rudin , Margo Seltzer

Objective: Social-environmental data obtained from the U.S. Census is an important resource for understanding health disparities, but rarely is the full dataset utilized for analysis. A barrier to incorporating the full data is a lack of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-02 Elizabeth Handorf , Yinuo Yin , Michael Slifker , Shannon Lynch