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Decision tree and random forest classification and regression are some of the most widely used in machine learning approaches. Binary decision tree implementations commonly use conditioning in the form 'feature $\leq$ (or $<$) threshold',…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Gábor Timár , György Kovács

The analysis of a truncated sample can be hindered by censoring. Survival information may be lost to follow-up or the birthdate may be missing. The data can still be modeled as a truncated point process and it is close to a Poisson process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Fiete Sieg , Anne-Marie Toparkus , Rafael Weissbach

Alternating recurrent events, where subjects experience two potentially correlated event types over time, are common in healthcare, social, and behavioral studies. Often there is a primary event of interest that, when triggered, initiates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Abigail Loe , Susan Murray , Zhenke Wu

We investigate regression for variable length sequential data containing missing samples and introduce a novel tree architecture based on the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. In our architecture, we employ a variable number of LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 S. Onur Sahin , Suleyman S. Kozat

We consider the problem of learning an optimal prescriptive tree (i.e., an interpretable treatment assignment policy in the form of a binary tree) of moderate depth, from observational data. This problem arises in numerous socially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Nathanael Jo , Sina Aghaei , Andrés Gómez , Phebe Vayanos

Random forests construct each tree with a different, randomised representation of the feature space. Their uniform voting cannot correct errors in regions where trees with incorrect representations probabilistically outnumber correct ones,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Youngjoon Park

We consider conducting inference on the output of the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) [Breiman et al., 1984] algorithm. A naive approach to inference that does not account for the fact that the tree was estimated from the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-19 Anna C. Neufeld , Lucy L. Gao , Daniela M. Witten

With the availability of massive amounts of data from electronic health records and registry databases, incorporating time-varying patient information to improve risk prediction has attracted great attention. To exploit the growing amount…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-29 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Colin O. Wu , Meghan McGarry , Chiung-Yu Huang

Existing survival analysis techniques heavily rely on strong modelling assumptions and are, therefore, prone to model misspecification errors. In this paper, we develop an inferential method based on ideas from conformal prediction, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Emmanuel J. Candès , Lihua Lei , Zhimei Ren

The goal of cluster analysis in survival data is to identify clusters that are decidedly associated with the survival outcome. Previous research has explored this problem primarily in the medical domain with relatively small datasets, but…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-03-10 S Chandra Mouli , Abhishek Naik , Bruno Ribeiro , Jennifer Neville

Time-dependent Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analysis is a standard method to evaluate the discriminative performance of biomarkers or risk scores for time-to-event outcomes. Extensions of this useful method to left-truncated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Kendrick Li , Mithun Kumar Acharjee

Massive sized survival datasets are becoming increasingly prevalent with the development of the healthcare industry. Such datasets pose computational challenges unprecedented in traditional survival analysis use-cases. A popular way for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Nir Keret , Malka Gorfine

This paper proposes an adaptive randomization procedure for two-stage randomized controlled trials. The method uses data from a first-wave experiment in order to determine how to stratify in a second wave of the experiment, where the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-06 Max Tabord-Meehan

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

In this paper the regression discontinuity design is adapted to the survival analysis setting with right-censored data, studied in an intensity based counting process framework. In particular, a local polynomial regression version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-07 Emil Aas Stoltenberg

Comparing the survival times among two groups is a common problem in time-to-event analysis, for example if one would like to understand whether one medical treatment is superior to another. In the standard survival analysis setting, there…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Dennis Dobler , Eni Musta

Model customization necessitates high-quality and diverse datasets, but acquiring such data remains time-consuming and labor-intensive. Despite the great potential of large language models (LLMs) for data synthesis, current approaches are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Sheng Wang , Pengan Chen , Jingqi Zhou , Qintong Li , Jingwei Dong , Jiahui Gao , Boyang Xue , Jiyue Jiang , Lingpeng Kong , Chuan Wu

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

We have applied a little-known data transformation to subsets of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) publically available data of the National Cancer Institute (NCI) to make it suitable input to standard machine learning…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-24 David Dooling , Angela Kim , Barbara McAneny , Jennifer Webster

Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore