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ML climate model emulators are useful for scenario planning and adaptation, allowing for cost-efficient experimentation. Recently, the diffusion model Climate in a Bottle (cBottle) has been proposed for generation of atmospheric states…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-06 Peter Manshausen , Noah Brenowitz , Julius Berner , Karthik Kashinath , Mike Pritchard

Given the destructive impacts of tropical cyclones, it is critical to have a reliable system for cyclone intensity detection. Various techniques are available for this purpose, each with differing levels of accuracy. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Vikas Dwivedi

Machine learning (ML) models are successful with weather forecasting and have shown progress in climate simulations, yet leveraging them for useful climate predictions needs exploration. Here we show this feasibility using Neural General…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-18 Gan Zhang , Megha Rao , Janni Yuval , Ming Zhao

We propose Diffusion-Informed Model Predictive Control (D-I MPC), a generic framework for uncertainty-aware prediction and decision-making in partially observable stochastic systems by integrating diffusion-based time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Stelios Zarifis , Ioannis Kordonis , Petros Maragos

Power system planning problems become computationally intractable if one accounts for all uncertain operating scenarios. Consequently, one selects a subset of scenarios that are representative of likely/extreme operating conditions, e.g.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-27 Malhar Padhee , Anamitra Pal

The influence of climate variability and global warming on the occurrence of tropical cyclones (TC) is a controversial issue. Existing historical databases on the subject are not fully reliable, but a more fundamental hindrance is the lack…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-10-02 Albert Osso , Alvaro Corral , J. E. Llebot

Full waveform inversion (FWI) has the potential to provide high-resolution subsurface model estimations. However, due to limitations in observation, e.g., regional noise, limited shots or receivers, and band-limited data, it is hard to…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-11-30 Fu Wang , Xinquan Huang , Tariq Alkhalifah

Tropical Cyclones (TCs) have devastating effects on several coastal regions worldwide. Precautionary knowledge about TC characteristics such as wind direction, wind speed, epicenter position, condensed vapor pressure measure, and radius of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-07 Monu Yadav , Laxminarayan Das

Skillful subseasonal forecasts are crucial for various sectors of society but pose a grand scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning based weather forecasting models outperform the most successful numerical weather predictions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Lei Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li , Jie Wu , Bo Lu , Deliang Chen , Shangping Xie , Qingchen Chao , Chensen Lin , Zixin Hu , Yuan Qi

Genesis potential indices (GPIs) are widely used to understand the climatology of tropical cyclones (TCs). However, the sign of projected future changes depends on how they incorporate environmental moisture. Recent theory combines…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-03 Daniel R Chavas , Suzana J Camargo , Michael K Tippett

Weather forecasting has seen a shift in methods from numerical simulations to data-driven systems. While initial research in the area focused on deterministic forecasting, recent works have used diffusion models to produce skillful ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Martin Andrae , Tomas Landelius , Joel Oskarsson , Fredrik Lindsten

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Accurate seismic velocity estimations are vital to understanding Earth's subsurface structures, assessing natural resources, and evaluating seismic hazards. Machine learning-based inversion algorithms have shown promising performance in…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-12 Fu Wang , Xinquan Huang , Tariq Alkhalifah

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Recently, diffusion models have gained significant attention as a novel set of deep learning-based generative methods. These models attempt to sample data from a Gaussian distribution that adheres to a target distribution, and have been…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-20 Chenyan Zhang , Yifei Chen , Zhenxiong Fan , Yiyu Huang , Wenchao Weng , Ruiquan Ge , Dong Zeng , Changmiao Wang

Effective climate risk assessment is hindered by the resolution gap between coarse global climate models and the fine-scale information needed for regional decisions. We introduce GenFocal, an AI framework that generates statistically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Robert Carver , Tapio Schneider , John Anderson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

This study evaluates the potential of generative models, trained on historical ERA5 reanalysis data, for simulating windstorms over the UK. Four generative models, including a standard GAN, a WGAN-GP, a U-net diffusion model, and a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 Yee Chun Tsoi , Kieran M. R. Hunt , Len Shaffrey , Atta Badii , Richard Dixon , Ludovico Nicotina

Time series forecasting models are becoming increasingly prevalent due to their critical role in decision-making across various domains. However, most existing approaches represent the coupled temporal patterns, often neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Zhiding Liu , Daoyu Wang

Mining time-frequency features is critical for time series forecasting. Existing research has predominantly focused on modeling low-frequency patterns, where most time series energy is concentrated. The overlooking of mid to high frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Boya Zhang , Shuaijie Yin , Huiwen Zhu , Xing He

The generation of synthetic tropical cyclone(TC) tracks for risk assessment is a critical application of preparedness for the impacts of climate change and disaster relief, particularly in North America. Insurance companies use these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Shouwei Gao , Meiyan Gao , Yuepeng Li , Wenqian Dong
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