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In many predictive tasks, there are a large number of true predictors with weak signals, leading to substantial uncertainties in prediction outcomes. The polygenic risk score (PRS) is an example of such a scenario, where many genetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Haoxuan Fu , Jiaoyang Huang , Zirui Fan , Bingxin Zhao

Learning of matrix-valued data has recently surged in a range of scientific and business applications. Trace regression is a widely used method to model effects of matrix predictors and has shown great success in matrix learning. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-06 Chanwoo Lee , Lexin Li , Hao Helen Zhang , Miaoyan Wang

We study subsampling-based ridge ensembles in the proportional asymptotics regime, where the feature size grows proportionally with the sample size such that their ratio converges to a constant. By analyzing the squared prediction risk of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Jin-Hong Du , Pratik Patil , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Symbolic regression algorithms search a space of mathematical expressions for formulas that explain given data. Transformer-based models have emerged as a promising, scalable approach shifting the expensive combinatorial search to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Henrik Voigt , Paul Kahlmeyer , Kai Lawonn , Michael Habeck , Joachim Giesen

The goal of this thesis is to improve our understanding of the internal mechanisms by which deep artificial neural networks create meaningful representations and are able to generalize. We focus on the challenge of characterizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Diego Doimo

While there is considerable work on change point analysis in univariate time series, more and more data being collected comes from high dimensional multivariate settings. This paper introduces the asymptotic concept of high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-28 John A. D. Aston , Claudia Kirch

In this work we investigate the generalization performance of random feature ridge regression (RFRR). Our main contribution is a general deterministic equivalent for the test error of RFRR. Specifically, under a certain concentration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Leonardo Defilippis , Bruno Loureiro , Theodor Misiakiewicz

Learning from non-stationary data streams and overcoming catastrophic forgetting still poses a serious challenge for machine learning research. Rather than aiming to improve state-of-the-art, in this work we provide insight into the limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Eli Verwimp , Matthias De Lange , Tinne Tuytelaars

Generalization, the ability to perform well beyond the training context, is a hallmark of biological and artificial intelligence, yet anticipating unseen failures remains a central challenge. Conventional approaches often take a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Chi-Ning Chou , Artem Kirsanov , Yao-Yuan Yang , SueYeon Chung

Although overparameterized models have achieved remarkable practical success, their theoretical properties, particularly their generalization behavior, remain incompletely understood. The well known double descents phenomenon suggests that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Haoran Zhan , Yingcun Xia

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a pillar of modern machine learning, serving as the go-to optimization algorithm for a diverse array of problems. While the empirical success of SGD is often attributed to its computational efficiency…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Courtney Paquette , Elliot Paquette , Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

Generalization is the ability of a model to predict on unseen domains and is a fundamental task in machine learning. Several generalization bounds, both theoretical and empirical have been proposed but they do not provide tight bounds .In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Sumukh Aithal K , Dhruva Kashyap , Natarajan Subramanyam

Modern deep learning models employ considerably more parameters than required to fit the training data. Whereas conventional statistical wisdom suggests such models should drastically overfit, in practice these models generalize remarkably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-18 Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

We consider estimation under scenarios where the signals of interest exhibit change of characteristics over time. In particular, we consider the continual learning problem where different tasks, e.g., data with different distributions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale , Anders Ahlén

Overparametrization often helps improve the generalization performance. This paper presents a dual view of overparametrization suggesting that downsampling may also help generalize. Focusing on the proportional regime $m\asymp n \asymp p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Xin Chen , Yicheng Zeng , Siyue Yang , Qiang Sun

A significant obstacle in the development of robust machine learning models is covariate shift, a form of distribution shift that occurs when the input distributions of the training and test sets differ while the conditional label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

Neural networks have achieved remarkable success in many cognitive tasks. However, when they are trained sequentially on multiple tasks without access to old data, their performance on early tasks tend to drop significantly. This problem is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Dong Yin , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Ang Li , Nir Levine , Alex Mott

We study the problem of estimating the effect function for a continuous treatment, which maps each treatment value to a population-averaged outcome. A central challenge in this setting is confounding: treatment assignment often depends on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Seok-Jin Kim , Kaizheng Wang

A common belief in high-dimensional data analysis is that data are concentrated on a low-dimensional manifold. This motivates simultaneous dimension reduction and regression on manifolds. We provide an algorithm for learning gradients on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-24 Sayan Mukherjee , Qiang Wu , Ding-Xuan Zhou

One of the principal scientific challenges in deep learning is explaining generalization, i.e., why the particular way the community now trains networks to achieve small training error also leads to small error on held-out data from the…

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