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This paper conducts a comprehensive study of the learning curves of kernel ridge regression (KRR) under minimal assumptions. Our contributions are three-fold: 1) we analyze the role of key properties of the kernel, such as its spectral…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Tin Sum Cheng , Aurelien Lucchi , Anastasis Kratsios , David Belius

Machine learning-based performance models are increasingly being used to build critical job scheduling and application optimization decisions. Traditionally, these models assume that data distribution does not change as more samples are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Ray A. O. Sinurat , Anurag Daram , Haryadi S. Gunawi , Robert B. Ross , Sandeep Madireddy

We propose new model selection criteria based on generalized ridge estimators dominating the maximum likelihood estimator under the squared risk and the Kullback-Leibler risk in multivariate linear regression. Our model selection criteria…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Yuichi Mori , Taiji Suzuki

Consider the classical supervised learning problem: we are given data $(y_i,{\boldsymbol x}_i)$, $i\le n$, with $y_i$ a response and ${\boldsymbol x}_i\in {\mathcal X}$ a covariates vector, and try to learn a model $f:{\mathcal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Song Mei , Theodor Misiakiewicz , Andrea Montanari

The learning properties of finite size polynomial Support Vector Machines are analyzed in the case of realizable classification tasks. The normalization of the high order features acts as a squeezing factor, introducing a strong anisotropy…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Sebastian Risau-Gusman , Mirta B. Gordon

We consider the problem of calculating learning curves (i.e., average generalization performance) of Gaussian processes used for regression. On the basis of a simple expression for the generalization error, in terms of the eigenvalue…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Sollich , Anason Halees

Fitting linear regression models can be computationally very expensive in large-scale data analysis tasks if the sample size and the number of variables are very large. Random projections are extensively used as a dimension reduction tool…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Gian-Andrea Thanei , Christina Heinze , Nicolai Meinshausen

Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for linear processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yunda Zhong , Wei Biao Wu

Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) algorithms are widely used in a variety of estimation and prediction tasks in signal-processing and machine learning applications. Despite their popularity, a theory that explains their statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

Regularized linear regression is central to machine learning, yet its high-dimensional behavior with informative priors remains poorly understood. We provide the first exact asymptotic characterization of training and test risks for maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-28 Malik Tiomoko , Ekkehard Schnoor

Recent studies show that transformer-based architectures emulate gradient descent during a forward pass, contributing to in-context learning capabilities - an ability where the model adapts to new tasks based on a sequence of prompt…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Karthik Duraisamy

Over the last decade, a wave of research has characterized the exact asymptotic risk of many high-dimensional models in the proportional regime. Two foundational results have driven this progress: Gaussian universality, which shows that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Matthew Esmaili Mallory , Kevin Han Huang , Morgane Austern

Continual learning, which aims to learn multiple tasks sequentially, has gained extensive attention. However, most existing work focuses on empirical studies, and the theoretical aspect remains under-explored. Recently, a few investigations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Fei Zhu , Yujing Liu , Wenzhuo Liu , Zhaoxiang Zhang

Ridge regression is a well established regression estimator which can conveniently be adapted for classification problems. One compelling reason is probably the fact that ridge regression emits a closed-form solution thereby facilitating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Jakramate Bootkrajang

Learning models have been shown to rely on spurious correlations between non-predictive features and the associated labels in the training data, with negative implications on robustness, bias and fairness. In this work, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Simone Bombari , Marco Mondelli

Rehearsal is one of the key techniques for mitigating catastrophic forgetting and has been widely adopted in continual learning algorithms due to its simplicity and practicality. However, the theoretical understanding of how rehearsal scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 JinLi He , Liang Bai , Xian Yang

Autonomous machine learning systems that learn many tasks in sequence are prone to the catastrophic forgetting problem. Mathematical theory is needed in order to understand the extent of forgetting during continual learning. As a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Daniel Goldfarb , Paul Hand

This study examines generalized cross-validation for the tuning parameter selection for ridge regression in high-dimensional misspecified linear models. The set of candidates for the tuning parameter includes not only positive values but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Akira Shinkyu

Random Feature (RF) models are used as efficient parametric approximations of kernel methods. We investigate, by means of random matrix theory, the connection between Gaussian RF models and Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR). For a Gaussian RF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-24 Arthur Jacot , Berfin Şimşek , Francesco Spadaro , Clément Hongler , Franck Gabriel

Risk estimation is at the core of many learning systems. The importance of this problem has motivated researchers to propose different schemes, such as cross validation, generalized cross validation, and Bootstrap. The theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Ji Xu , Arian Maleki , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Daniel Hsu