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Causality is essential for understanding complex systems, such as the economy, the brain, and the climate. Constructing causal graphs often relies on either data-driven or expert-driven approaches, both fraught with challenges. The former…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kai-Hendrik Cohrs , Gherardo Varando , Emiliano Diaz , Vasileios Sitokonstantinou , Gustau Camps-Valls

Predictive models can fail to generalize from training to deployment environments because of dataset shift, posing a threat to model reliability and the safety of downstream decisions made in practice. Instead of using samples from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-10 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Suchi Saria

Reliable and interpretable traffic crash modeling is essential for understanding causality and improving road safety. This study introduces a novel approach to predicting collision types by utilizing a comprehensive dataset fused from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Oscar Lares , Hao Zhen , Jidong J. Yang

The extraction of invariant causal relationships from time series data with environmental attributes is critical for robust decision-making in domains such as climate science and environmental monitoring. However, existing methods either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Ziruo Hao , Tao Yang , Xiaofeng Wu , Bo Hu

This work presents Causal Drift Generator (CaDrift), a time-dependent synthetic data generator framework based on Structural Causal Models (SCMs). The framework produces a virtually infinite combination of data streams with controlled shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Eduardo V. L. Barboza , Jean Paul Barddal , Robert Sabourin , Rafael M. O. Cruz

Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines. Of particular importance across a variety of domains is the continuous treatment setting, where the variable of intervention has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Christopher Stith , Medha Barath , Vahid Balazadeh , Jesse C. Cresswell , Rahul G. Krishnan

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have advanced spatiotemporal forecasting by leveraging relational inductive biases among sensors (or any other measuring scheme) represented as nodes in a graph. However, current methods often rely on Recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Aref Einizade , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros , Jhony H. Giraldo

Semantic communication has emerged as a promising paradigm for enabling goal-oriented networking. However, most existing semantic communication solutions are tailored to one-shot tasks and optimize instantaneous performance. Hence, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Lingyi Wang , Tingyu Shui , Walid Saad , Pascal Adjakple

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is an essential problem in many fields. Accurate forecasting results can effectively help decision-making. To date, many MTS forecasting methods have been proposed and widely applied. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yida Huang , Jie Feng , Yueyang Wang

Causal learning is a beneficial approach to analyze the cause and effect relationships among variables in a dataset. A causal graph can be generated from a dataset using a particular causal algorithm, for instance, the PC algorithm or Fast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Teny Handhayani , James Cussens

Analog-mixed-signal (AMS) circuits are highly non-linear and operate on continuous real-world signals, making them far more difficult to model with data-driven AI than digital blocks. To close the gap between structured design data (device…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Mohyeu Hussain , David Koblah , Reiner Dizon-Paradis , Domenic Forte

Graph contrastive learning is a general learning paradigm excelling at capturing invariant information from diverse perturbations in graphs. Recent works focus on exploring the structural rationale from graphs, thereby increasing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Qirui Ji , Jiangmeng Li , Jie Hu , Rui Wang , Changwen Zheng , Fanjiang Xu

This paper introduces TRACE-GPT, which stands for Time-seRies Anomaly-detection with Convolutional Embedding and Generative Pre-trained Transformers. TRACE-GPT is designed to pre-train univariate time-series sensor data and detect faults on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Sewoong Lee , JinKyou Choi , Min Su Kim

Industrial Control Systems (ICS) in water distribution and treatment face cyber-physical attacks exploiting network and physical vulnerabilities. Current water system anomaly detection methods rely on correlations, yielding high false…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Mohammadhossein Homaei , Mehran Tarif , Pablo Garcia Rodriguez , Andres Caro , Mar Avila

Graph data is becoming increasingly prevalent due to the growing demand for relational insights in AI across various domains. Organizations regularly use graph data to solve complex problems involving relationships and connections. Causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Simi Job , Xiaohui Tao , Taotao Cai , Haoran Xie , Jianming Yong , Xin Wang

Prediction of wireless channels and their statistics is a fundamental procedure for ensuring performance guarantees in wireless systems. Statistical radio maps powered by Gaussian processes (GPs) offer flexible, non-parametric frameworks,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Robin J. Williams , Mahmoud Saad Abouamer , Petar Popovski

Causal inference is a critical task across fields such as healthcare, economics, and the social sciences. While recent advances in machine learning, especially those based on the deep-learning architectures, have shown potential in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Manqing Liu , David R. Bellamy , Andrew L. Beam

The extensive adoption of web technologies in the finance and investment sectors has led to an explosion of financial data, which contributes to the complexity of the forecasting task. Traditional machine learning models exhibit limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Renjun Jia , Zian Liu , Peng Zhu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Foundation models for structured time series data must contend with a fundamental challenge: observations often conflate the true underlying physical phenomena with systematic distortions introduced by measurement instruments. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Jeroen Audenaert , Daniel Muthukrishna , Paul F. Gregory , David W. Hogg , V. Ashley Villar

One essential goal of constructing coarse-grained molecular dynamics (CGMD) models is to accurately predict non-equilibrium processes beyond the atomistic scale. While a CG model can be constructed by projecting the full dynamics onto a set…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-09-19 Liyao Lyu , Huan Lei