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A principled approach to cyclicality and intransitivity in paired comparison data is developed. The proposed methodology enables more precise estimation of the underlying preference profile and facilitates the identification of all cyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Rahul Singh , Ori Davidov

Causal inference, a cornerstone in disciplines such as economics, genomics, and medicine, is increasingly being recognized as fundamental to advancing the field of robotics. In particular, the ability to reason about cause and effect from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Minh Q. Tram , Nolan B. Gutierrez , William J. Beksi

Identifying the main features and learning the causal relationships of a dynamic system from time-series of sensor data are key problems in many real-world robot applications. In this paper, we propose an extension of a state-of-the-art…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Luca Castri , Sariah Mghames , Marc Hanheide , Nicola Bellotto

Discovering causal relationships in complex multivariate time series is a fundamental scientific challenge. Traditional methods often falter, either by relying on restrictive linear assumptions or on conditional independence tests that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Gian Marco Paldino , Gianluca Bontempi

Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions. Recently proposed Causal Foundation Models (CFMs) promise a more unified approach by amortising causal discovery and inference in a…

Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

This paper introduces a $\textit{canonical}$ graph signal model defined by a $\textit{canonical}$ graph and a $\textit{canonical}$ shift, the $\textit{companion}$ graph and the $\textit{companion}$ shift. These are canonical because, under…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-28 John Shi , Jose M. F. Moura

Devising and analyzing learning models for spatiotemporal network data is of importance for tasks including forecasting, anomaly detection, and multi-agent coordination, among others. Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNNs) are an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Elvin Isufi

Traffic crashes profoundly impede traffic efficiency and pose economic challenges. Accurate prediction of post-crash traffic status provides essential information for evaluating traffic perturbations and developing effective solutions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Shuang Li , Ziyuan Pu , Nan Zhang , Duxin Chen , Lu Dong , Daniel J. Graham , Yinhai Wang

Are generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) models, trained only to predict the next token, implicitly learning a world model from which sequences are generated one token at a time? We address this question by deriving a causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Sungduk Yu , Estelle Aflalo , Vasudev Lal

As an emerging trend in channel acquisition (CA), the concept of channel twinning (CT) has been proposed as a powerful enabler of ubiquitous connectivity in next-generation (xG) wireless systems. By fusing multimodal sensor data, CT…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 Yashuai Cao , Linglong Dai , Jingbo Tan , Jintao Wang , Tianyue Zheng , Wei Ni , Ekram Hossain , Dusit Niyato

Model quantization, which aims to compress deep neural networks and accelerate inference speed, has greatly facilitated the development of cumbersome models on mobile and edge devices. There is a common assumption in quantization methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Yuzhang Shang , Bingxin Xu , Gaowen Liu , Ramana Kompella , Yan Yan

The study of cause-and-effect is of the utmost importance in many branches of science, but also for many practical applications of intelligent systems. In particular, identifying causal relationships in situations that include hidden…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-14 Luca Castri , Sariah Mghames , Marc Hanheide , Nicola Bellotto

Stepwise inference protocols, such as scratchpads and chain-of-thought, help language models solve complex problems by decomposing them into a sequence of simpler subproblems. Despite the significant gain in performance achieved via these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Mikail Khona , Maya Okawa , Jan Hula , Rahul Ramesh , Kento Nishi , Robert Dick , Ekdeep Singh Lubana , Hidenori Tanaka

Discovering causal relations from observational time series without making the stationary assumption is a significant challenge. In practice, this challenge is common in many areas, such as retail sales, transportation systems, and medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

In Gaussian graphical models, conditional independence and partial correlations are natural inferential targets for understanding direct relationships in multivariate data. No comparable framework exists for spatial processes, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Michele Peruzzi

Closed-loop control of nonlinear dynamical systems with partial-state observability demands expert knowledge of a diverse, less standardized set of theoretical tools. Moreover, it requires a delicate integration of controller and estimator…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-04 Xiangyuan Zhang , Weichao Mao , Haoran Qiu , Tamer Başar

Sensor signals acquired in the industrial process contain rich information which can be analyzed to facilitate effective monitoring of the process, early detection of system anomalies, quick diagnosis of fault root causes, and intelligent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-27 Feng Ye , Zhijie Xia , Min Dai , Zhisheng Zhang

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

In this contribution we deal with the problem of learning an undirected graph which encodes the conditional dependence relationship between variables of a complex system, given a set of observations of this system. This is a very central…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-26 Daniela De Canditiis , Armando Guardasole
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