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We construct a compound Poisson process conditioned on its random summation that represents the sizes of the connected components in the sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G(n,c/n)$. This new representation depicts a connection between…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Wen Sun

Statistical distances, divergences, and similar quantities have a large history and play a fundamental role in statistics, machine learning and associated scientific disciplines. However, within the statistical literature, this extensive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Marianthi Markatou , Yang Chen , Georgios Afendras , Bruce G. Lindsay

In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian

Applying the standard weighted mean formula, [sum_i {n_i sigma^{-2}_i}] / [sum_i {sigma^{-2}_i}], to determine the weighted mean of data, n_i, drawn from a Poisson distribution, will, on average, underestimate the true mean by ~1 for all…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kenneth J. Mighell

The goal of this paper is to study the Moderate Deviation Principle (MDP) for a system of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations with a time-scale separation in slow and fast components and small noise in the slow component. Based on weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-03 Ioannis Gasteratos , Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

The convex hull generated by the restriction to the unit ball of a stationary Poisson point process in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space is considered. By establishing sharp bounds on cumulants, exponential estimates for large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-15 Julian Grote , Christoph Thaele

We establish a moderate deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of the four parameters of a geometrically ergodic Heston process. We also obtain moderate deviations for the maximum likelihood estimator of the couple of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

We build on recent works on Stein's method for functions of multivariate normal random variables to derive bounds for the rate of convergence of some asymptotically chi-square distributed statistics. We obtain some general bounds and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert

In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimator of a probability density function and its partial derivatives. Unlike the density estimator, the derivatives estimators exhibit a quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Baba Thiam

The main purpose of this paper is to establish bounds on the second moment of $L\big(\tfrac{1}{2}+it,\chi\big)$, averaged over families of fixed order characters. A discrete version of the main result is also stated, from which zero-density…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-06 C. C. Corrigan

Dispersion is a fundamental concept in statistics, yet standard approaches - especially via stochastic orders - face limitations in the discrete setting. In particular, the classical dispersive order, well-established for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

We investigate random walks in independent, identically distributed random sceneries under the assumption that the scenery variables satisfy Cramer's condition. We prove moderate deviation principles in dimensions two and larger, covering…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Klaus Fleischmann , Peter Morters , Vitali Wachtel

In this paper, we prove a central limit theorem and estabilish a moderate deviation principle for stochastic models of incompressible second fluids. The weak convergence method inreoduced by [4] plays an important role.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-01 Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang , Wuting Zheng

In this paper we consider the (weighted) spectral measure $\mu_n$ of a $n\times n$ random matrix, distributed according to a classical Gaussian, Laguerre or Jacobi ensemble, and show a moderate deviation principle for the standardised…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-27 Jan Nagel

We prove Moderate Deviation estimates for nodal lengths of random spherical harmonics both on the whole sphere and on shrinking spherical domains. Central Limit Theorems for the latter were recently established in Marinucci, Rossi and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Claudio Macci , Maurizia Rossi , Anna Paola Todino

We use a new method via $p$-Wasserstein bounds to prove Cram\'er-type moderate deviations in (multivariate) normal approximations. In the classical setting that $W$ is a standardized sum of $n$ independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem and a moderate deviations for 2D stochastic primitive equations with multiplicative noise. The proof is mainly based on the weak convergence approach.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Rangrang Zhang , Guoli Zhou

Pearson's chi-squared test, from 1900, is the standard statistical tool for "hypothesis testing on distributions": namely, given samples from an unknown distribution $Q$ that may or may not equal a hypothesis distribution $P$, we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Trung Dang , Walter McKelvie , Paul Valiant , Hongao Wang

In this paper, we establish a moderate deviations principle for the Langevin dynamics with strong damping. The weak convergence approach plays an important role in the proof.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Lingyan Cheng , Ruinan Li , Wei Liu
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