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We establish a moderate deviations principle (MDP) for the log-determinant $\log | \det (M_n) |$ of a Wigner matrix $M_n$ matching four moments with either the GUE or GOE ensemble. Further we establish Cram\'er--type moderate deviations and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Hanna Döring , Peter Eichelsbacher

New lower bounds on the total variation distance between the distribution of a sum of independent Bernoulli random variables and the Poisson random variable (with the same mean) are derived via the Chen-Stein method. The new bounds rely on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-07-17 Igal Sason

In this paper we give an explicit bound on the distance to chisquare for the likelihood ratio statistic when the data are realisations of independent and identically distributed random elements. To our knowledge this is the first explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Andreas Anastasiou , Gesine Reinert

We consider a $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued branching random walk with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$. With the help of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Chunmao Huang , Xin Wang , Xiaoqiang Wang

An ordinary character $\chi $ of a finite group is called orthogonally stable, if all non-degenerate invariant quadratic forms on any module affording the character $\chi $ have the same discriminant. This is the orthogonal discriminant,…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Gabriele Nebe

Consider an unlimited homogeneous medium disturbed by points generated via Poisson process. The neighborhood of a point plays an important role in spatial statistics problems. Here, we obtain analytically the distance statistics to $k$th…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-11 Cristiano Roberto Fabri Granzotti , Alexandre Souto Martinez

We establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem for double-index permutation statistics (DIPS). To the best of our knowledge, previous results only provided Berry-Esseen type bounds for DIPS, which cannot yield moderate deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Songhao Liu , Qiman Shao , Jingyu Xu

Consider the likelihood ratio test (LRT) statistics for the independence of sub-vectors from a $p$-variate normal random vector. We are devoted to deriving the limiting distributions of the LRT statistics based on a random sample of size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Mingyue Hu , Yongcheng Qi

The mid-p-value is a proposed improvement on the ordinary p-value for the case where the test statistic is partially or completely discrete. In this case, the ordinary p-value is conservative, meaning that its null distribution is larger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Patrick Rubin-Delanchy , Nicholas A. Heard , Daniel John Lawson

Informative interim adaptations lead to random sample sizes. The random sample size becomes a component of the sufficient statistic and estimation based solely on observed samples or on the likelihood function does not use all available…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Sergey Tarima , Nancy Flournoy

We propose a new definition of the chi-square divergence between distributions. Based on convexity properties and duality, this version of the {\chi}^2 is well suited both for the classical applications of the {\chi}^2 for the analysis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-26 Michel Broniatowski , Samantha Leorato

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

The large deviation principle is proved for a class of $L^2$-valued processes that arise from the coarse-graining of a random field. Coarse-grained processes of this kind form the basis of the analysis of local mean-field models in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. S. Ellis , K. Haven , B. Turkington

In this paper we are concerned with hitting times of a family of density-dependent Markov chains. A moderate deviation principle of the hitting time is given. The proof of the main theorem relies heavily on moderate deviations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Yuheng He , Xiaofeng Xue

The density-dependent Markov chain (DDMC) introduced in \cite{Kurtz1978} is a continuous time Markov process applied in fields such as epidemics, chemical reactions and so on. In this paper, we give moderate deviation principles of paths of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Xiaofeng Xue

Differential privacy is often studied under two different models of neighboring datasets: the add-remove model and the swap model. While the swap model is frequently used in the academic literature to simplify analysis, many practical…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Alex Kulesza , Ananda Theertha Suresh , Yuyan Wang

The aim of this paper is to improve the large deviation principle for the number of descents in a random permutation by establishing a sharp large deviation principle of any order. We shall also prove a sharp large deviation principle of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Bernard Bercu , Michel Bonnefont , Luis Fredes , Adrien Richou

We prove two Large deviations principles (LDP) in the zone of moderate deviation probabilities. First we establish LDP for the conditional distributions of moderate deviations of empirical bootstrap measures given empirical probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Mikhail Ermakov

Reduced chi-squared is a very popular method for model assessment, model comparison, convergence diagnostic, and error estimation in astronomy. In this manuscript, we discuss the pitfalls involved in using reduced chi-squared. There are two…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-12-20 Rene Andrae , Tim Schulze-Hartung , Peter Melchior

The present article derives the minimal number $N$ of observations needed to consider a Bayesian posterior distribution as Gaussian. Two examples are presented. Within one of them, a chi-squared distribution, the observable $x$ as well as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Christoph Fuhrmann , Hanns Ludwig Harney , Klaus Harney , Andreas Müller
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