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In this paper, we combine the techniques of enlargement of filtrations and stochastic control theory to establish an extension of the verification theorem, where the coefficients of the stochastic controlled equation are adapted to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Jorge A. León , Liliana Peralta , Iván Rodríguez

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

Design optimization under uncertainty is notoriously difficult when the objective function is expensive to evaluate. State-of-the-art techniques, e.g, stochastic optimization or sampling average approximation, fail to learn exploitable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-20 Piyush Pandita , Ilias Bilionis , Jitesh Panchal

Bayesian Optimization critically depends on the choice of acquisition function, but no single strategy is universally optimal; the best choice is non-stationary and problem-dependent. Existing adaptive portfolio methods often base their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Giang Ngo , Dat Phan Trong , Dang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-04 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

This paper studies a composite problem involving the decision making of the optimal entry time and dynamic consumption afterwards. In stage-1, the investor has access to full market information subjecting to some information costs and needs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-05 Yue Yang , Xiang Yu

We consider a semilinear equation linked to the finite horizon consumption - investment problem under the stochastic factor framework and we prove it admits a classical solution and provide all obligatory estimates to successfully apply a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Dariusz Zawisza

In many applications, ranging from logistics to engineering, a designer is faced with a sequence of optimization tasks for which the objectives are in the form of black-box functions that are costly to evaluate. Furthermore, higher-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Yunchuan Zhang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Financial markets are complex environments that produce enormous amounts of noisy and non-stationary data. One fundamental problem is online portfolio selection, the goal of which is to exploit this data to sequentially select portfolios of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-23 Favour M. Nyikosa , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Bayesian optimization is proposed for automatic learning of optimal controller parameters from experimental data. A probabilistic description (a Gaussian process) is used to model the unknown function from controller parameters to a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Matthias Neumann-Brosig , Alonso Marco , Dieter Schwarzmann , Sebastian Trimpe

We study a controlled version of the Bayesian sequential testing problem for the drift of a Wiener process, in which the observer exercises discretion over the signal intensity. This control incurs a running cost that reflects the resource…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Steven Campbell , Georgy Gaitsgori , Richard Groenewald

Trajectory optimization of sensing robots to actively gather information of targets has received much attention in the past. It is well-known that under the assumption of linear Gaussian target dynamics and sensor models the stochastic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Jennifer Wakulicz , He Kong , Salah Sukkarieh

This paper first describes a class of uncertain stochastic control systems with Markovian switching, and derives an It\^o-Liu formula for Markov-modulated processes. And we characterize an optimal control law, which satisfies the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-14 Weiyin Fei

We develop a hierarchical Bayesian dynamic game for competitive inventory and pricing under incomplete information. Two firms repeatedly choose order quantities and prices while facing two layers of uncertainty: unknown market demand and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Debashis Chatterjee

We consider the problem of optimal dynamic information acquisition from many correlated information sources. Each period, the decision-maker jointly takes an action and allocates a fixed number of observations across the available sources.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-15 Annie Liang , Xiaosheng Mu , Vasilis Syrgkanis

For a long investment time horizon, it is preferable to rebalance the portfolio weights at intermediate times. This necessitates a multi-period market model in which portfolio optimization is usually done through dynamic programming.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Shubhangi Sikaria , Rituparna Sen , Neelesh S. Upadhye

We consider the estimation of the multi-period optimal portfolio obtained by maximizing an exponential utility. Employing Jeffreys' non-informative prior and the conjugate informative prior, we derive stochastic representations for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

We study the expected utility portfolio optimization problem in an incomplete financial market where the risky asset dynamics depend on stochastic factors and the portfolio allocation is constrained to lie within a given convex set. We…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-20 Marcos Escobar-Anel , Michel Kschonnek , Rudi Zagst

We consider a stochastic game between a slow institutional investor and a high-frequency trader who are trading a risky asset and their aggregated order-flow impacts the asset price. We model this system by means of two coupled stochastic…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Rama Cont , Alessandro Micheli , Eyal Neuman

We study an information acquisition problem in which an informed trader acquires costly information prior to trading in the Kyle equilibrium. The cost of information acquisition is represented by an entropy cost. Regardless of the prior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 S. Viswanathan , Hao Xing