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A Bayesian lattice filtering and smoothing approach is proposed for fast and accurate modeling and inference in multivariate non-stationary time series. This approach offers computational feasibility and interpretable time-frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Wenjie Zhao , Raquel Prado

This paper focuses on designing a particle filter for randomly delayed measurements with an unknown latency probability. A generalized measurement model is adopted which includes measurements that are delayed randomly by an arbitrary but…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-03-22 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik , Paresh Date

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs). In real data applications the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Gianluca Frasso , Jonathan Jaeger , Philippe Lambert

In this paper, we consider the problem of jointly performing online parameter estimation and optimal sensor placement for a partially observed infinite dimensional linear diffusion process. We present a novel solution to this problem in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-12 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

Equations governing physico-chemical processes are usually known at microscopic spatial scales, yet one suspects that there exist equations, e.g. in the form of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs), that can explain the system evolution at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-31 Hassan Arbabi , Ioannis Kevrekidis

In this paper, we write the time-varying parameter (TVP) regression model involving K explanatory variables and T observations as a constant coefficient regression model with KT explanatory variables. In contrast with much of the existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-01 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Luca Onorante

In this paper we are interested in the problem of adaptive state observation of linear time-varying (LTV) systems where the system and the input matrices depend on unknown time-varying parameters. It is assumed that these parameters satisfy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-13 Anton Pyrkin , Alexey Bobtsov , Romeo Ortega , Alberto Isidori

We propose a novel method, Phase-IDENT, for identifying partial differential equations (PDEs) from noisy observations of dynamical systems that exhibit phase transitions. Such phenomena are prevalent in fluid dynamics and materials science,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Edward L. Yang , Roy Y. He

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

In this article we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed diffusions, with observations following a marked point process. In the model, the data form a point process with observation times that have its intensity…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-17 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

Traditionally, systems governed by linear Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are spatially discretized to exploit their algebraic structure and reduce the computational effort for controlling them. Due to beneficial insights of the PDEs,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-05 Saber Jafarizadeh

In this paper, we establish the almost sure convergence of two-timescale stochastic gradient descent algorithms in continuous time under general noise and stability conditions, extending well known results in discrete time. We analyse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas

The filtering distribution is a time-evolving probability distribution on the state of a dynamical system, given noisy observations. We study the large-time asymptotics of this probability distribution for discrete-time, randomly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-25 D. Sanz-Alonso , A. M. Stuart

This paper addresses the estimation of uncertain distributed diffusion coefficients in elliptic systems based on noisy measurements of the model output. We formulate the parameter identification problem as an infinite dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Jeff Borggaard , Hans-Werner van Wyk

In this paper, we consider the problem of distributed parameter estimation in sensor networks. Each sensor makes successive observations of an unknown $d$-dimensional parameter, which might be subject to Gaussian random noises. The sensors…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-20 Jiaqi Yan , Hideaki Ishii

Data assimilation methodologies are designed to incorporate noisy observations of a physical system into an underlying model in order to infer the properties of the state of the system. Filters refer to a class of data assimilation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-06 C. E. A. Brett , K. F. Lam , K. J. H. Law , D. S. McCormick , M. R. Scott , A. M. Stuart

A technique is introduced for estimating unknown parameters when time series of only one variable from a multivariate nonlinear dynamical system is given. The technique employs a combination of two different control methods, a linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

The method to design exponentially stable adaptive observers is proposed for linear time-invariant systems parameterized by unknown physical parameters. Unlike existing adaptive solutions, the system state-space matrices A, B are not…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-22 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

Time-varying parameters (TVPs) models are frequently used in economics to capture structural change. I highlight a rather underutilized fact -- that these are actually ridge regressions. Instantly, this makes computations, tuning, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 Philippe Goulet Coulombe