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We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Online parameter identification is of importance, e.g., for model predictive control. Since the parameters have to be identified simultaneously to the process of the modeled system, dynamical update laws are used for state and parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Romana Boiger , Barbara Kaltenbacher

We consider a class of systems with time-varying parameters, which are written as linear regressions with bounded disturbances. The task is to estimate such parameters under the condition that the regressor is finitely exciting (FE).…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-24 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

To comprehend complex systems with multiple states, it is imperative to reveal the identity of these states by system outputs. Nevertheless, the mathematical models describing these systems often exhibit nonlinearity so that render the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Guangtao Zhang , Yiting Duan , Guanyu Pan , Qijing Chen , Huiyu Yang , Zhikun Zhang

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

Pattern formation is a widely observed phenomenon in diverse fields including materials physics, developmental biology and ecology, among many others. The physics underlying the patterns is specific to the mechanisms, and is encoded by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Z. Wang , X. Huan , K. Garikipati

In this paper an adaptive state observer and parameter identification algorithm for a linear time-varying system are developed under condition that the state matrix of the system contains unknown time-varying parameters of a known form. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-22 Olga Kozachek , Nikolay Nikolaev , Olga Slita , Alexey Bobtsov

Time-varying parameter (TVP) regressions commonly assume that time-variation in the coefficients is determined by a simple stochastic process such as a random walk. While such models are capable of capturing a wide range of dynamic…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-01 Manfred M. Fischer , Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

It is crucially important to estimate unknown parameters in earth system models by integrating observation and numerical simulation. For many applications in earth system sciences, an optimization method which allows parameters to…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Yohei Sawada

In this paper, we develop the mathematical framework for filtering problems arising from biophysical applications where data is collected from confocal laser scanning microscopy recordings of the space-time evolution of intracellular wave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Jan Szalankiewicz , Cristina Martinez-Torres , Wilhelm Stannat

Designing estimation algorithms for systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) such as fluid flows is challenging due to the high-dimensional and oftentimes nonlinear nature of the dynamics, as well as their dependence on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Saviz Mowlavi , Mouhacine Benosman

We propose a novel framework for adaptively learning the time-evolving solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) using score-based diffusion models within a recursive Bayesian inference setting. SPDEs play a central…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-12 Toan Huynh , Ruth Lopez Fajardo , Guannan Zhang , Lili Ju , Feng Bao

Time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility are routinely used for structural analysis and forecasting in settings involving a few endogenous variables. Applying these models to high-dimensional datasets has proved to be…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-20 Joshua C. C. Chan

We explore the derivation of distributed parameter system evolution laws (and in particular, partial differential operators and associated partial differential equations, PDEs) from spatiotemporal data. This is, of course, a classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-18 Hassan Arbabi , Felix P. Kemeth , Tom Bertalan , Ioannis Kevrekidis

This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

A novel approach to the problem of partial state estimation of nonlinear systems is proposed. The main idea is to translate the state estimation problem into one of estimation of constant, unknown parameters related to the systems initial…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-08 Ortega Romeo , Bobtsov Alexey , Pyrkin Anton , Aranovskiy Stanislav

This article is devoted to the detection of parameters in anomalous diffusion from a single passive measurement. More precisely, we consider the simultaneous identification of coefficients as well as a time-dependent source term appearing…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Maolin Deng , Ali Feizmohammadi , Bangti Jin , Yavar Kian

In this paper, we apply the recently developed generalized parameter estimation-based observer design technique for state-affine systems to the practically important case of linear time-varying descriptor systems with uncertain parameters.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-22 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Fernando Castanos , Nikolay Nikolaev

We study the problem of identifying unknown processes embedded in time-dependent partial differential equation (PDE) using observational data, with an application to advection-diffusion type PDE. We first conduct theoretical analysis and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Zhen Chen , Kailiang Wu , Dongbin Xiu