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As extreme heat events intensify due to climate change and urbanization, cities face increasing challenges in mitigating outdoor heat stress. While traditional physical models such as SOLWEIG and ENVI-met provide detailed assessments of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Shengao Yi , Xiaojiang Li , Wei Tu , Tianhong Zhao

City-scale outdoor thermal comfort diagnostics are essential for understanding actual heat stress. However, previous research primarily focused on the street scale. Here, we present the WRF-UCM-SOLWEIG framework to achieve fine-grained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-30 Xiaotian Ding , Yongling Zhao , Yifan Fan , Jian Ge , Jan Carmeliet

Extreme heat poses a growing challenge for active transportation in cities where conventional weather reporting (e.g. limited air temperature measurement for the whole city) fails to capture the large microclimate variations that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-05 Aditya Patel , Naveen Sudharsan , Trevor Brooks , Harsh Kamath , Dru Crawley , Marc Coudert , Zach Baumer , Dev Niyogi

Heat exposure connects the built environment and public health, directly shaping the livability and sustainability of urban areas. Understanding the spatial heterogeneity of heat exposure and its drivers is vital for climate-adaptive urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Yuan Wang , Shengao Yi , Xiaojiang Li , Pengyuan Liu , Zhiwei Yang , Ronita Bardhan , Rudi Stouffs

Thermal conditions in the urban canopy exhibit stochastic variability driven by varied radiative fluxes and turbulent wind fields, requiring probabilistic rather than deterministic prediction methods. This study presents a probabilistic…

Applied Physics · Physics 2025-12-10 Shisheng Chen , Ruohan Xu , Nyuk Hien Wong , Shanshan Tong , Jiashuo Wang , Matthaios Santamouris

Regressions are commonly used in environmental science and economics to identify causal or associative relationships between variables. In these settings, remote sensing-derived map products increasingly serve as sources of variables,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-04 Kerri Lu , Dan M. Kluger , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

Estimating the temperature field of a building envelope could be a time-consuming task. The use of a reduced-order method is then proposed: the Proper Generalized Decomposition method. The solution of the transient heat equation is then…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Marie-Hélène Azam , Julien Berger , Sihem Guernouti , Philippe Poullain , Marjorie Musy

Numerical simulation is a powerful tool for assessing the causes of an Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect or quantifying the impact of mitigation solutions on outdoor and indoor thermal comfort. For that purpose, several models have been…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Marie-Hélène Azam , Julien Berger , Edouard Walther , Sihem Guernouti

Climate sensitivity is defined as the change in global mean equilibrium temperature after a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration and provides a simple measure of global warming. An early estimate of climate sensitivity, 1.5-4.5{\deg}C,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-04-24 Tamsin L. Edwards , Michel Crucifix , Sandy P. Harrison

Climate change will result in more frequent, more intense and longer-lasting heat waves by 2050. As part of its Climate Plan and its resilience strategy, the City of Paris is deploying, through its Oasis program, a network of urban cool…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-04 Ghid Karam , Maïlys Chanial , Maxime Chaumont , Martin Hendel , Laurent Royon

Urban overheating, exacerbated by climate change, threatens public health and urban sustainability. Traditional approaches, such as numerical simulations and field measurements, face challenges due to uncertainties in input data. This study…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-27 Jiwei Zou , Lin Wang , Senwen Yang , Michael Lacasse , Liangzhu , Wang

The optimal fingerprinting method for detection and attribution of climate change is based on a multiple regression where each covariate has measurement error whose covariance matrix is the same as that of the regression error up to a known…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Yan Li , Kun Chen , Jun Yan , Xuebin Zhang

Great strides have been made in the field of reconstructing past temperatures based on models relating temperature to temperature-sensitive paleoclimate proxies. One of the goals of such reconstructions is to assess if current climate is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-09 Lucas Janson , Bala Rajaratnam

One of the most used metrics to gauge the effects of climate change is the equilibrium climate sensitivity, defined as the long-term (equilibrium) temperature increase resulting from instantaneous doubling of atmospheric CO$_2$. Since…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-04 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

Accurately assessing the postmortem interval (PMI) is an important task in forensic science. Some of the existing techniques use regression models that use a decomposition score to predict the PMI or accumulated degree days (ADD), however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Anna-Maria Nau , Phillip Ditto , Dawnie Wolfe Steadman , Audris Mockus

Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

Climate change detection and attribution play a central role in establishing the causal influence of human activities on global warming. The dominant framework, optimal fingerprinting, is a linear errors-in-variables model in which each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-21 Haoran Li , Yan Li

Climate predictions are only meaningful if the associated uncertainty is reliably estimated. A standard practice for providing climate projections is to use an ensemble of projections. The ensemble mean serves as the projection while the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-16 Ehud Strobach , Golan Bel

Recently it was demonstrated how climate data can be utilized to estimate regional wind power densities. In particular it was shown that the quality of the global scale estimate compared well with regional high resolution studies and a link…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-31 Markus Gross , Vanesa Magar

We assess empirical models in climate econometrics using modern statistical learning techniques. Existing approaches are prone to outliers, ignore sample dependencies, and lack principled model selection. To address these issues, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-26 Christof Schötz , Jan Hassel , Christian Otto
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