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Given uncertainties in physical theory and numerical climate simulations, the historical temperature record is often used as a source of empirical information about climate change. Many historical trend analyses appear to deemphasize…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-16 Andrew Poppick , Elisabeth J. Moyer , Michael L. Stein

This paper is concerned with a contemporary Bayesian approach to the effect of temperature on developmental rates. We develop statistical methods using recent computational tools to model four commonly used ecological non-linear…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Marios Kondakis , Nikolaos Demiris , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Nikos E. Papanikolaou

Since the prediction of climate is mainly considered as a prediction of second kind, it is indispensable to assess the accuracy with which these boundary conditions can be determined so that we can find a reasonable answer, whether climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Gerhard Kramm , Ralph Dlugi

We investigate the effect of statistical post-processing on the probabilistic skill of discomfort index (DI) and indoor wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGTid) ensemble forecasts, both calculated from the corresponding forecasts of temperature…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-23 Sándor Baran , Ágnes Baran , Florian Pappenberger , Zied Ben Bouallègue

Remote sensing observations of the Earth's surface are frequently stymied by clouds, water vapour, and aerosols in our atmosphere. These degrade or preclude the measurementof quantities critical to scientific and, hence, societal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Angelina Agabin , J. Xavier Prochaska , Peter C. Cornillon , Christian E. Buckingham

Driven by the increasing frequency and intensity of natural disasters and chronic climate threats, we investigate the impact of physical climate risk on global equity portfolios. By employing a panel regression analysis on sectoral returns,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Michele Azzone , Carlo Bechi , Gabriele Sbaiz

Thermal comfort assessment for the built environment has become more available to analysts and researchers due to the proliferation of sensors and subjective feedback methods. These data can be used for modeling comfort behavior to support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Matias Quintana , Stefano Schiavon , Kwok Wai Tham , Clayton Miller

As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat island effects are becoming more frequent and severe. To formulate effective mitigation plans, cities require detailed air temperature data, yet conventional machine learning models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Jannis Fleckenstein , David Kreismann , Tamara Rosemary Govindasamy , Thomas Brunschwiler , Etienne Vos , Mattia Rigotti

We present a novel method for reconstructing the thermal conductivity coefficient in 1D and 2D heat equations using moving sensors that dynamically traverse the domain to record sparse and noisy temperature measurements. We significantly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Guangting Yu , Shiwei Lan , Kookjin Lee , Alex Mahalov

Assessing climate-driven mortality risk has become an emerging area of research in recent decades. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to explicitly incorporate climate-driven effects into both single- and multi-population stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Jiacheng Min , Han Li , Thomas Nagler , Shuanming Li

Global climate projections rely on computationally demanding Earth System Models (ESMs), which are typically limited to coarse spatial resolutions due to their high cost. To obtain high-resolution projections for regions of interest, it is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Erik Larsson , Ramon Fuentes-Franco , Mikhail Ivanov , Fredrik Lindsten

Uncertainty quantification in prediction presents a compelling challenge with vast applications across various domains, including biomedical science, economics, and weather forecasting. There exists a wide array of methods for constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Jianqing Fan , Jiawei Ge , Debarghya Mukherjee

The rising temperature is one of the key indicators of a warming climate, and it can cause extensive stress to biological systems as well as built structures. Due to the heat island effect, it is most severe in urban environments compared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Manzhu Yu , Fangcao Xu , Weiming Hu , Jian Sun , Guido Cervone

We present a method to reduce the variance of stochastic trace estimators used in quantum typicality (QT) methods via a randomized low-rank approximation of the finite-temperature density matrix $e^{-\beta H}$. The trace can be evaluated…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-02-18 Phillip Weinberg

Regression-based optimal fingerprinting techniques for climate change detection and attribution require the estimation of the forced signal as well as the internal variability covariance matrix in order to distinguish between their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Samuel Baugh , Karen McKinnon

Outdoor thermal comfort is a critical determinant of urban livability, particularly in hot desert climates where extreme heat poses challenges to public health, energy consumption, and urban planning. Mean Radiant Temperature ($T_{mrt}$) is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Pouya Shaeri , Saud AlKhaled , Ariane Middel

Quantifying the risk of global warming exceeding critical targets such as 2.0 K requires reliable projections of uncertainty as well as best estimates of Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST). However, uncertainty bands on GMST projections…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-21 Philip G. Sansom , Donald Cummins , Stephan Siegert , David B. Stephenson

Climate models are limited by heavy computational costs, often producing outputs at coarse spatial resolutions, while many climate change impact studies require finer scales. Statistical downscaling bridges this gap, and we adapt the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Maryam Alipourhajiagha , Pierre-Louis Lemaire , Youssef Diouane , Julie Carreau

Due to the climate change debate, a lot of research and maps of external climate parameters are available. However, maps of indoor climate performance parameters are still lacking. This paper presents a methodology for obtaining maps of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-05-17 A. W. M. van Schijndel

Planets in M dwarf stars' habitable zones are likely to be tidally locked with orbital periods of order tens of days. This means that the effects of rotation on atmospheric dynamics will be relatively weak, which requires small horizontal…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Sean M. Mills , Dorian S. Abbot