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The demand-supply balance of electricity systems is fundamentally linked to climate conditions. In light of this, the present study aims to model the effect of climate change on the European electricity system, specifically on its long-term…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-29 Inès Harang , Fabian Heymann , Laurens P. Stoop

We explore the crucial interplay between climate change and power system planning, highlighting the urgent need to systematically integrate climate information into energy system studies. Climate change impacts the energy sector on multiple…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Laurent Dubus , Alberto Troccoli , Aron zuiker , Laurens Stoop

Efforts to reduce climate change, but also falling prices and significant technology developments currently drive an increased weather-dependent electricity production from renewable electricity sources. In light of the changing climate, it…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Smail Kozarcanin , Hailiang Liu , Gorm Bruun Andresen

Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system modelling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological conditions imposed by climate change. To enable that transformation, a…

The balancing provided by hydropower reservoirs is essential in the transition towards a decarbonised European energy system, but the resource might be impacted by future climate change. In this work, we first analyse the hydropower…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-07 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Marta Victoria

Renewable energy sources play a major role in future net-zero energy systems. However, achieving energy system resilience remains challenging, since renewables depend on weather fluctuations, and future energy systems are subject to major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-16 Luna Bloin-Wibe , Erich Fischer , Leonard Göke , Reto Knutti , Francesco de Marco , Jan Wohland

As energy systems transform to rely on renewable energy and electrification, they encounter stronger year-to-year variability in energy supply and demand. However, most infrastructure planning is based on a single weather year, resulting in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Gorm Bruun Andresen , Fabian Neumann , Marta Victoria

Renewable energy is becoming an increasingly important component of energy systems. However, renewable energy production is heavily dependent on the prevailing weather conditions, which are changing as a result of climate change. It is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-02 Edgar Dolores-Tesillos , Noelia Otero , Sam Allen

Achieving decarbonization across energy sectors requires demand-side transformation such as behavioural changes and end-use efficiency improvements to complement supply-side technological shifts. However, changing consumption patterns is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-07 Parisa Rahdan , Mirko Schäfer , Ana Belén Cristóbal López , Marta Victoria

We use three ensemble members of the EURO-CORDEX project and their data on surface wind speeds, solar irradiation as well as water runoff with a spatial resolution of 12 km and a temporal resolution of 3 hours under representative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-09 Markus Schlott , Alexander Kies , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Residential demands for space heating and hot water account for 31% of the total European energy demand. Space heating is highly dependent on ambient conditions and susceptible to climate change. We adopt a techno-economic standpoint and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-18 S. Kozarcanin , R. Hanna , I. Staffell , R. Gross , G. B. Andresen

We may anticipate that climate change will bring changes to the intensity and variability of near surface winds, either through local effects or by altering the large-scale flow. The impact of climate change on European wind resources has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-19 Richard Davy , Natalia Gnatiuk , Lasse Pettersson , Leonid Bobylev

Accurate residential load forecasting is critical for power system reliability with rising renewable integration and demand-side flexibility. However, most statistical and machine learning models treat external factors, such as weather,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Haoran Li , Muhao Guo , Marija Ilic , Yang Weng , Guangchun Ruan

Numerical climate models are used to project future climate change due to both anthropogenic and natural causes. Differences between projections from different climate models are a major source of uncertainty about future climate. Emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Thomas J. Bracegirdle

When the climate system is forced, e.g. by emission of greenhouse gases, it responds on multiple time scales. As temperatures rise, feedback processes might intensify or weaken. Current methods to analyze feedback strength, however, do not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

Decisions related to electric power systems planning and operations rely on assumptions and insights informed by historic weather data and records of past performance. Evolving climate trends are, however, changing the energy use patterns…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-09 Anna M. Brockway , Laurel N. Dunn

To limit the global temperature increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius, fossil-free energy systems will be required eventually. To understand how such systems can be designed, the current state-of-the-art is to apply techno-economical optimisation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-01 K. Zhu , M. Victoria , G. B. Andresen , M. Greiner

Climate change impacts a broad spectrum of human resources and activities, necessitating the use of climate models to project long-term effects and inform mitigation and adaptation strategies. These models generate multiple datasets by…

The mitigation of climate change requires a fundamental transition of the energy system. Affordability, reliability and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions constitute central but often conflicting targets for this energy transition.…

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz
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