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Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks (ST-GNNs) and Transformers have shown significant promise in traffic forecasting by effectively modeling temporal and spatial correlations. However, rapid urbanization in recent years has led to dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Hongjun Wang , Jiyuan Chen , Lingyu Zhang , Renhe Jiang , Xuan Song

Despite the long history of modelling human mobility, we continue to lack a highly accurate approach with low data requirements for predicting mobility patterns in cities. Here, we present a population-weighted opportunities model without…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-03 Xiao-Yong Yan , Chen Zhao , Ying Fan , Zengru Di , Wen-Xu Wang

Reliable generalization metrics are fundamental to the evaluation of machine learning models. Especially in high-stakes applications where labeled target data are scarce, evaluation of models' generalization performance under distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Yunxiang Peng , Mengmeng Ma , Ziyu Yao , Xi Peng

The complex spatial-temporal correlations in transportation networks make the traffic forecasting problem challenging. Since transportation system inherently possesses graph structures, many research efforts have been put with graph neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Yuyol Shin , Yoonjin Yoon

Accurate weather nowcasting remains one of the central challenges in atmospheric science, with critical implications for climate resilience, energy security, and disaster preparedness. Since it is not feasible to deploy observation stations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Jie Shi , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Accurately modeling traffic speeds is a fundamental part of efficient intelligent transportation systems. Nowadays, with the widespread deployment of GPS-enabled devices, it has become possible to crowdsource the collection of speed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco C. Pereira

We propose a novel Graph Neural Network (GNN) model, named DeepStateGNN, for analyzing traffic data, demonstrating its efficacy in two critical tasks: forecasting and reconstruction. Unlike typical GNN methods that treat each traffic sensor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Yannick Wölker , Arash Hajisafi , Cyrus Shahabi , Matthias Renz

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for real-world applications like traffic management, yet capturing reliable interactions remains challenging under noisy and non-stationary conditions. Existing methods primarily rely on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yinghao Ai , Yukai Zhou , Ruoxi Jiang , Junyi An , Chao Qu , Zhijian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , Fenglei Cao , Zenglin Xu , Furao Shen , Yuan Qi

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

Today's autonomous vehicles rely extensively on high-definition 3D maps to navigate the environment. While this approach works well when these maps are completely up-to-date, safe autonomous vehicles must be able to corroborate the map's…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-09 Ari Seff , Jianxiong Xiao

Modeling mixed-traffic motion and interactions is crucial to assess safety, efficiency, and feasibility of future urban areas. The lack of traffic regulations, diverse transport modes, and the dynamic nature of mixed-traffic zones like…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Fatema T. Johora , Dongfang Yang , Jörg P. Müller , Ümit Özgüner

Accurate traffic forecasting is vital to intelligent transportation systems, which are widely adopted to solve urban traffic issues. Existing traffic forecasting studies focus on modeling spatial-temporal dynamics in traffic data, among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Yirong Chen , Ziyue Li , Wanli Ouyang , Michael Lepech

Spatio-temporal prediction plays an important role in many application areas especially in traffic domain. However, due to complicated spatio-temporal dependency and high non-linear dynamics in road networks, traffic prediction task is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Bing Yu , Mengzhang Li , Jiyong Zhang , Zhanxing Zhu

Notably, current intelligent transportation systems rely heavily on accurate traffic forecasting and swift inference provision to make timely decisions. While Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have shown benefits in modeling complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhaoyan Wang , Xiangchi Song , In-Young Ko

Multi-agent traffic simulation is central to developing and testing autonomous driving systems. Recent data-driven simulators have achieved promising results, but rely heavily on supervised learning from labeled trajectories or semantic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Mozhgan Pourkeshavatz , Tianran Liu , Nicholas Rhinehart

Even though end-to-end supervised learning has shown promising results for sensorimotor control of self-driving cars, its performance is greatly affected by the weather conditions under which it was trained, showing poor generalization to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Patrick Wenzel , Qadeer Khan , Daniel Cremers , Laura Leal-Taixé

We present BusTr, a machine-learned model for translating road traffic forecasts into predictions of bus delays, used by Google Maps to serve the majority of the world's public transit systems where no official real-time bus tracking is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Richard Barnes , Senaka Buthpitiya , James Cook , Alex Fabrikant , Andrew Tomkins , Fangzhou Xu

Generalizing machine learning (ML) models for network traffic dynamics tends to be considered a lost cause. Hence for every new task, we design new models and train them on model-specific datasets closely mimicking the deployment…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Alexander Dietmüller , Siddhant Ray , Romain Jacob , Laurent Vanbever

Unlike conventional "black-box" transformers with classical self-attention mechanism, we build a lightweight and interpretable transformer-like neural net by unrolling a mixed-graph-based optimization algorithm to forecast traffic with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Ji Qi , Tam Thuc Do , Mingxiao Liu , Zhuoshi Pan , Yuzhe Li , Gene Cheung , H. Vicky Zhao

Accurately tracking and predicting behaviors of surrounding objects are key prerequisites for intelligent systems such as autonomous vehicles to achieve safe and high-quality decision making and motion planning. However, there still remain…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Jiachen Li , Wei Zhan , Yeping Hu , Masayoshi Tomizuka