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In this paper we present stochastic foundations of fractional dynamics driven by fractional material derivative of distributed order-type. Before stating our main result we present the stochastic scenario which underlies the dynamics given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Marcin Magdziarz , Marek Teuerle

We study a two-dimensional process $(X, Y)$ arising as the unique nonnegative solution to a pair of stochastic differential equations driven by independent Brownian motions and compensated spectrally positive L\'evy random measures. Both…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-19 Yan-Xia Ren , Jie Xiong , Xu Yang , Xiaowen Zhou

We study analytically the order and gap statistics of particles at time $t$ for the one dimensional branching Brownian motion, conditioned to have a fixed number of particles at $t$. The dynamics of the process proceeds in continuous time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-04-27 Kabir Ramola , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

The Semi-Markov property of Continuous Time Random Walks (CTRWs) and their limit processes is utilized, and the probability distributions of the bivariate Markov process $(X(t),V(t))$ are calculated: $X(t)$ is a CTRW limit and $V(t)$ a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-20 G. Gill , P. Straka

We derive a necessary and sufficient condition for stochastic processes to have almost periodic finite dimensional distributions; in particular, we obtain characterizations for infinitely divisible processes to be almost periodic in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 David Berger , Farid Mohamed

This paper introduces a comprehensive extension of the path integral formalism to model stochastic processes with arbitrary multiplicative noise. To do so, It\^o diffusive process is generalized by incorporating a multiplicative noise term…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-03-06 F. S. Abril-Bermúdez , C. J. Quimbay , J. E. Trinidad-Segovia , M. A Sánchez-Granero

In this paper, we propose a class of efficient, accurate, and general methods for solving state-estimation problems with equality and inequality constraints. The methods are based on recent developments in variable splitting and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Rui Gao , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

Compartment models with delay terms are widely used across a range of disciplines. The motivation to include delay terms varies across different contexts. In epidemiological and pharmacokinetic models, the delays are often used to represent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Christopher N. Angstmann , Anna V. McGann , Zhuang Xu

A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Pei-Sen Li

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

The abrupt changes that are ubiquitous in physical and natural systems are often well characterized by shot noise with a state dependent recurrence frequency and jump amplitude. For such state dependent behavior, we derive the transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-05 Mark S. Bartlett , Amilcare Porporato

In this paper we develop a methodology that we call split sampling methods to estimate high dimensional expectations and rare event probabilities. Split sampling uses an auxiliary variable MCMC simulation and expresses the expectation of…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-04 John R. Birge , Changgee Chang , Nicholas G. Polson

Probing deeper into the existing issues regarding the exit probability (EP) in one dimensional dynamical models, we consider several models where the states are represented by Ising spins and the information flows inwards. At zero…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-11 Parna Roy , Soham Biswas , Parongama Sen

Motivated by various recent experimental findings, we propose a dynamical model of intermittently self-propelled particles: active particles that recurrently switch between two modes of motion, namely an active run-state and a turn state,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-10-30 Agniva Datta , Carsten Beta , Robert Großmann

We formulate the statistics of the discrete multicomponent fragmentation event using a methodology borrowed from statistical mechanics. We generate the ensemble of all feasible distributions that can be formed when a single integer…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-03 Themis Matsoukas

We establish the functional convex order results for two scaled McKean-Vlasov processes $X=(X_{t})_{t\in[0, T]}$ and $Y=(Y_{t})_{t\in[0, T]}$ defined on a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, (\mathcal{F}_{t})_{t\geq0},…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Yating Liu , Gilles Pagès

The mean first exit (passage) time characterizes the average time of a stochastic process never leaving a fixed region in the state space, while the escape probability describes the likelihood of a transition from one region to another for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Weihua Deng , Xiaochao Wu , Wanli Wang

Suppose we are given the conditional probability of one variable given some other variables.Normally the full joint distribution over the conditioning variablesis required to determine the probability of the conditioned variable.Under what…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Avi Pfeffer

Markov chains provide a foundational framework for modeling sequential stochastic processes, with the transition probability matrix characterizing the dynamics of state evolution. While classical estimation methods such as maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Agamani Saha , Souvik Roy