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In several countries, including Italy, a prominent approach to population health surveillance involves conducting repeated cross-sectional surveys at short intervals of time. These surveys gather information on the health status of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-10 Mattia Stival , Lorenzo Schiavon , Stefano Campostrini

Spatio-temporal areal data can be seen as a collection of time series which are spatially correlated according to a specific neighboring structure. Incorporating the temporal and spatial dimension into a statistical model poses challenges…

In this study, we introduce a novel and comprehensive extension of a Bayesian spatio-temporal disease mapping model that explicitly accounts for gender-specific effects of meteorological exposures. Leveraging fine-scale weekly mortality and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Corinna Perchtold , Julia Eisenberg , Philipp Otto

In this study, we address the challenge of modelling the spatial variability in violence against women across municipalities in a Southern Italian region by proposing a Bayesian spatio-temporal Poisson regression model. Using data on access…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Leonardo Cefalo , Crescenza Calculli , Alessio Pollice

Spatio-temporal areal data can be seen as a collection of time series which are spatially correlated, according to a specific neighbouring structure. Motivated by a dataset on mobile phone usage in the Metropolitan area of Milan, Italy, we…

This article introduces a dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility (SV) model with explicit terms for the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects. Moreover, the model includes time-invariant site-specific constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

To study the impact of climate variables on morbidity of some diseases in Mexico, we propose a spatio-temporal varying coefficients regression model. For that we introduce a new spatio-temporal dependent process prior, in a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-02 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-03 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

We analyze repeated cross-sectional survey data collected by the Institute of Global Health Innovation, to characterize the perception and behavior of the Italian population during the Covid-19 pandemic, focusing on the period that spans…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Emanuele Aliverti , Massimilano Russo

This paper studies the relationship between the student's abilities in the second year of high school and the infrastructural endowment in all Italian municipalities, using spatial Bayesian modelling. Municipal student scores are obtained…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Leonardo Cefalo , Alessio Pollice , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio

In epidemiological studies of air pollution and public health, estimating the health impact of exposure to air pollution may be hindered by the unknown functional form of the exposure-outcome association and by unmeasured confounding…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Carlo Zaccardi , Pasquale Valentini , Luigi Ippoliti , Alexandra M. Schmidt

We present a multivariate hierarchical space-time model to describe the joint series of monthly extreme temperatures and amounts of rainfall. Data are available for 360 monitoring stations over 60 years, with missing data affecting almost…

Obesity affects a rising percentage of the children and adolescent population, contributing to decreased quality of life and increased risk for comorbidities. Although the major causes of obesity are known, the obesogenic behaviors manifest…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Ioannis Sarafis , Christos Diou , Vasileios Papapanagiotou , Leonidas Alagialoglou , Anastasios Delopoulos

Wind-speed processes exhibit substantial temporal variability and spatial dependence, yet volatility dynamics across monitoring networks remain relatively unexplored. This study investigates the spatiotemporal behaviour of wind-speed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-11 Ariane Nidelle Meli Chrisko , Philipp Otto

Economic inequalities referring to specific regions are crucial in deepening spatial heterogeneity. Income surveys are generally planned to produce reliable estimates at countries or macroregion levels, thus we implement a small area model…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-09 Silvia De Nicolò , Maria Rosaria Ferrante , Silvia Pacei

We develop a new Bayesian approach to estimating panel spatial autoregressive models with a known number of latent common factors, where N, the number of cross-sectional units, is much larger than T, the number of time periods. Without…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G Hall , George S. Tavlas

Air pollution remains a major environmental risk factor that is often associated with adverse health outcomes. However, quantifying and evaluating its effects on human health is challenging due to the complex nature of exposure data. Recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Soumyakanti Pan , Sudipto Banerjee

To this day, terrorism persists as a worldwide threat, as exemplified by the ongoing lethal attacks perpetrated by ISIS in Iraq, Syria, Al Qaeda in Yemen, and Boko Haram in Nigeria. In response, states deploy various counterterrorism…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-12 André Python , Janine Illian , Charlotte Jones-Todd , Marta Blangiardo

Epidemiological investigations of regionally aggregated spatial data often involve detecting spatial health disparities among neighboring regions on a map of disease mortality or incidence rates. Analyzing such data introduces spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

We introduce an extended generalised logistic growth model for discrete outcomes, in which a network structure can be specified to deal with spatial dependence and time dependence is dealt with using an Auto-Regressive approach. A major…

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