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Despite the superiority of convolutional neural networks demonstrated in time series modeling and forecasting, it has not been fully explored on the design of the neural network architecture and the tuning of the hyper-parameters. Inspired…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Xinze Zhang , Kun He , Yukun Bao

This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Apostolos Ampountolas

Echo State Networks (ESN) are a class of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) that has gained substantial popularity due to their effectiveness, ease of use and potential for compact hardware implementation. An ESN contains the three network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Luca Carcano , Emanuele Plebani , Danilo Pietro Pau , Marco Piastra

Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are one of the most controversial and complex technological innovations in today's financial system. This study aims to forecast the movements of Bitcoin prices at a high degree of accuracy. To this aim,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-09 Hakan Pabuccu , Serdar Ongan , Ayse Ongan

The study of deep recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and, in particular, of deep Reservoir Computing (RC) is gaining an increasing research attention in the neural networks community. The recently introduced Deep Echo State Network (DeepESN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Claudio Gallicchio , Alessio Micheli

The volatility and complex dynamics of cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges for accurate price forecasting. This research proposes a hybrid deep learning and machine learning model that integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Mehul Gautam

Cryptocurrencies have gained significant attention in recent years due to their decentralized nature and potential for financial innovation. Thus, the ability to accurately predict its price has become a subject of great interest for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Arthur Emanuel de Oliveira Carosia

This research evaluates the performance of an Artificial Neural Network based prediction system that was employed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange for the period 21-Sep-2016 to 11-Oct-2016. It is a follow-up to a previous paper in which the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-09 Barack Wamkaya Wanjawa

Echo State Networks (ESN) are versatile recurrent neural network models in which the hidden layer remains unaltered during training. Interactions among nodes of this static backbone produce diverse representations of the given stimuli that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Kayson Fakhar , Fatemeh Hadaeghi , Claus C. Hilgetag

In the realm of cryptocurrency, the prediction of Bitcoin prices has garnered substantial attention due to its potential impact on financial markets and investment strategies. This paper propose a comparative study on hybrid machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Shun Liu , Kexin Wu , Chufeng Jiang , Bin Huang , Danqing Ma

Point processes have been dominant in modeling the evolution of seismicity for decades, with the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model being most popular. Recent advances in machine learning have constructed highly flexible point…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-04 Samuel Stockman , Daniel J. Lawson , Maximilian J. Werner

A hypergraph as a generalization of graphs records higher-order interactions among nodes, yields a more flexible network model, and allows non-linear features for a group of nodes. In this article, we propose a hypergraph echo state network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Justin Lien

This article demonstrates the possibility of constructing indicators of critical and crisis phenomena in the volatile market of cryptocurrency. For this purpose, the methods of the theory of complex systems such as recurrent analysis of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Andrey Belinskiy

Echo state networks are simple recurrent neural networks that are easy to implement and train. Despite their simplicity, they show a form of memory and can predict or regenerate sequences of data. We make use of this property to realize a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Rajkumar Ramamurthy , Christian Bauckhage , Krisztian Buza , Stefan Wrobel

Prediction of stock price movements presents a formidable challenge in financial analytics due to the inherent volatility, non-stationarity, and nonlinear characteristics of market data. This paper introduces SPH-Net (Stock Price Prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Yiyang Wu , Hanyu Ma , Muxin Ge , Xiaoli Ma , Yadi Liu , Ye Aung Moe , Zeyu Han , Weizheng Xie

We explore the influence of precision of the data and the algorithm for the simulation of chaotic dynamics by neural networks techniques. For this purpose, we simulate the Lorenz system with different precisions using three different neural…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-09 S. Bompas , B. Georgeot , D. Guéry-Odelin

The stock market is a fundamental component of financial systems, reflecting economic health, providing investment opportunities, and influencing global dynamics. Accurate stock market predictions can lead to significant gains and promote…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Gonzalo Lopez Gil , Paul Duhamel-Sebline , Andrew McCarren

This paper studies the stabilization problem of networked control systems (NCSs) with random packet dropouts caused by stochastic channels. To describe the effects of stochastic channels on the information transmission, the transmission…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-23 Wei Ren , Wei Wang , Zhuo-Rui Pan , Xi-Ming Sun , Andrew R. Teel , Dragan Nesic

The skill of current predictions of the warm phase of the El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) reduces significantly beyond a lag of six months. In this paper, we aim to increase this prediction skill at lags up to one year. The new method…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-15 Peter D. Nooteboom , Qing Yi Feng , Cristóbal López , Emilio Hernández-García , Henk A. Dijkstra

This paper describes an architecture for predicting the price of cryptocurrencies for the next seven days using the Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Historical data of cryptocurrencies and indexes that are considered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Ali Mehrban , Pegah Ahadian