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We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the $\ell^1$-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we first present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-01-22 Francis Bach

We investigate the performance of model based bootstrap methods for constructing point-wise confidence intervals around the survival function with interval censored data. We show that bootstrapping from the nonparametric maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Bodhisattva Sen , Gongjun Xu

In this paper, we study the low-rank matrix completion problem, a class of machine learning problems, that aims at the prediction of missing entries in a partially observed matrix. Such problems appear in several challenging applications…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-04 The Tien Mai

Calibrated confidence estimates are necessary for large language model (LLM) outputs to be trusted by human users. While LLMs can express their confidence in human-interpretable ways, verbalized LLM-generated confidence scores have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Victor Wang , Elias Stengel-Eskin

When computing a confidence interval for a binomial proportion p one must choose between using an exact interval, which has a coverage probability of at least 1-{\alpha} for all values of p, and a shorter approximate interval, which may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

One of the most prominent methods for uncertainty quantification in high-dimen-sional statistics is the desparsified LASSO that relies on unconstrained $\ell_1$-minimization. The majority of initial works focused on real (sub-)Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Frederik Hoppe , Felix Krahmer , Claudio Mayrink Verdun , Marion I. Menzel , Holger Rauhut

We add a set of convex constraints to the lasso to produce sparse interaction models that honor the hierarchy restriction that an interaction only be included in a model if one or both variables are marginally important. We give a precise…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-20 Jacob Bien , Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani

When studying the causal effect of $x$ on $y$, researchers may conduct regression and report a confidence interval for the slope coefficient $\beta_{x}$. This common confidence interval provides an assessment of uncertainty from sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Mark Abramson

We consider the problem of statistical inference on parameters of a target population when auxiliary observations are available from related populations. We propose a flexible empirical Bayes approach that can be applied on top of any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a crucial but challenging task in many high-dimensional regression or learning problems to increase the confidence of a given predictor. We develop a new data-driven approach for UQ in regression that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Frederik Hoppe , Claudio Mayrink Verdun , Hannah Laus , Felix Krahmer , Holger Rauhut

We propose a new method to construct confidence intervals for quantities that are associated with a stationary time series, which avoids direct estimation of the asymptotic variances. Unlike the existing tuning-parameter-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-13 Xiaofeng Shao

Vector autoregression (VAR) models are widely used to analyze the interrelationship between multiple variables over time. Estimation and inference for the transition matrices of VAR models are crucial for practitioners to make decisions in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu

This paper proposes a decorrelation-based approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for the low dimensional component of high dimensional proportional hazards models. Motivated by the geometric projection principle, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-17 Ethan X. Fang , Yang Ning , Han Liu

Constructing valid inferential methods for constrained parameters in normal and Poisson distributions represents two fundamental and important problems in applied statistics, for which there is currently no unified framework for statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Hezhi Lu , Qijun Wu

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Valid inference after model selection is currently a very active area of research. The polyhedral method, pioneered by Lee, et al. (2016), allows for valid inference after model selection if the model selection event can be described by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Danijel Kivaranovic , Hannes Leeb

Obtaining quantitative survey responses that are both accurate and informative is crucial to a wide range of fields. Traditional and ubiquitous response formats such as Likert and Visual Analogue Scales require condensation of responses…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Zack Ellerby , Christian Wagner , Stephen Broomell

This paper highlights a tension between semiparametric efficiency and bootstrap consistency in the context of a canonical semiparametric estimation problem, namely the problem of estimating the average density. It is shown that although…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson

The goal of this paper is to contrast and survey the major advances in two of the most commonly used high-dimensional techniques, namely, the Lasso and horseshoe regularization. Lasso is a gold standard for predictor selection while…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-05 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard