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We consider high-dimensional inference for potentially misspecified Cox proportional hazard models based on low dimensional results by Lin and Wei [1989]. A de-sparsified Lasso estimator is proposed based on the log partial likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-02 Shengchun Kong , Zhuqing Yu , Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

The Lasso is one of the most important approaches for parameter estimation and variable selection in high dimensional linear regression. At the heart of its success is the attractive rate of convergence result even when $p$, the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Junlong Zhao , Chenlei Leng

Bootstrapping is often applied to get confidence limits for semiparametric inference of a target parameter in the presence of nuisance parameters. Bootstrapping with replacement can be computationally expensive and problematic when…

The goal of any estimation study is an interval estimation of a the parameter(s) of interest. These estimations are mostly expressed using empirical confidence intervals that are based on sample point estimates of the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Ilya Novikov

A generalization of the classical concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) is considered under a three-level design where multiple raters rate every subject over time, and each rater is rating every subject multiple times at each measuring…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Soumya Sahu , Thomas Mathew , Dulal K. Bhaumik

Expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail below (or above) a certain quantile of a probability distribution. Expected shortfall regression provides powerful tools for learning the relationship between a response variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Shushu Zhang , Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Deep learning models have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various fields, gaining recognition across numerous disciplines. Yet, an aspect of deep learning that remains insufficiently addressed is the assessment of prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Asaf Ben Arie , Malka Gorfine

We propose an adaptive confidence interval procedure (CIP) for the coefficients in the normal linear regression model. This procedure has a frequentist coverage rate that is constant as a function of the model parameters, yet provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Peter D. Hoff , Chaoyu Yu

This paper is an attempt to set a justification for making use of some dicrepancy indexes, starting from the classical Maximum Likelihood definition, and adapting the corresponding basic principle of inference to situations where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Michel Broniatowski

Bayesian inference allows expressing the uncertainty of posterior belief under a probabilistic model given prior information and the likelihood of the evidence. Predominantly, the likelihood function is only implicitly established by a…

This note is an invited discussion of the article "Confidence Intervals for Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Analysis" by Ignatiadis and Wager. In this discussion, I review some goals of empirical Bayes data analysis and the contribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Peter Hoff

The incorporation of systematic uncertainties into confidence interval calculations has been addressed recently in a paper by Conrad et al. (Physical Review D 67 (2003) 012002). In their work, systematic uncertainities in detector…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Gary C. Hill

Several uncertainty estimation methods have been recently proposed for machine translation evaluation. While these methods can provide a useful indication of when not to trust model predictions, we show in this paper that the majority of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Chrysoula Zerva , André F. T. Martins

Motivated by the simultaneous association analysis with the presence of latent confounders, this paper studies the large-scale hypothesis testing problem for the high-dimensional confounded linear models with both non-asymptotic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Yinrui Sun , Li Ma , Yin Xia

We consider the problem of constructing honest confidence intervals (CIs) for a scalar parameter of interest, such as the regression discontinuity parameter, in nonparametric regression based on kernel or local polynomial estimators. To…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-08 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

Model explanations such as saliency maps can improve user trust in AI by highlighting important features for a prediction. However, these become distorted and misleading when explaining predictions of images that are subject to systematic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Wencan Zhang , Mariella Dimiccoli , Brian Y. Lim

Confidence intervals (CIs) are instrumental in statistical analysis, providing a range estimate of the parameters. In modern statistics, selective inference is common, where only certain parameters are highlighted. However, this selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Tzviel Frostig , Yoav Benjamini , Ruth Heller

Many recently developed Bayesian methods have focused on sparse signal detection. However, much less work has been done addressing the natural follow-up question: how to make valid inferences for the magnitude of those signals after…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Spencer Woody , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

An empirical Bayes confidence interval has high user demand in many applications. In particular, the second-order empirical Bayes confidence interval, the coverage error of which is of the third order for large number of areas, is widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Masayo Y. Hirose

For users to trust model predictions, they need to understand model outputs, particularly their confidence - calibration aims to adjust (calibrate) models' confidence to match expected accuracy. We argue that the traditional calibration…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Chenglei Si , Chen Zhao , Sewon Min , Jordan Boyd-Graber
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