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We introduce a method to rigorously draw causal inferences---inferences immune to all possible confounding---from genetic data that include parents and offspring. Causal conclusions are possible with these data because the natural…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Matteo Sesia , Chiara Sabatti , Emmanuel Candes

We examine the dynamics of an age-structured population model in which the life expectancy of an offspring may be mutated with respect to that of the parent. While the total population of the system always reaches a steady state, the…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 W. Hwang , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

Large-scale medical studies such as the UK Biobank examine thousands of volunteer participants with medical imaging techniques. Combined with the vast amount of collected metadata, anatomical information from these images has the potential…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-18 Taro Langner , Robin Strand , Håkan Ahlström , Joel Kullberg

Although species longevity is subject to a diverse range of selective forces, the mortality curves of a wide variety of organisms are rather similar. We argue that aging and its universal characteristics may have evolved by means of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-01 Dervis Can Vural , Greg Morrison , L. Mahadevan

The chronological age used in demography describes the linear evolution of the life of a living being. The chronological age cannot give precise information about the exact developmental stage or aging processes an organism has reached. On…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Jacques Demongeot , Pierre Magal

The Penna model is a strategy to simulate the genetic dynamics of age-structured populations, in which the individuals genomes are represented by bit-strings. It provides a simple metaphor for the evolutionary process in terms of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Veit Schwämmle , Suzana M. de Oliveira

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

We first review an approach that had been developed in the past years to introduce concepts of "bivariate ageing" for exchangeable lifetimes and to analyze mutual relations among stochastic dependence, univariate ageing, and bivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Giovanna Nappo , Fabio L. Spizzichino

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

Motivated by genetic association studies of pleiotropy, we propose here a Bayesian latent variable approach to jointly study multiple outcomes or phenotypes. The proposed method models both continuous and binary phenotypes, and it accounts…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-08 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

Insurance and annuity products covering several lives require the modelling of the joint distribution of future lifetimes. In the interest of simplifying calculations, it is common in practice to assume that the future lifetimes among a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-19 François Dufresne , Enkelejd Hashorva , Gildas Ratovomirija , Youssouf Toukourou

The goal of this article is to contribute towards the conceptual and quantitative understanding of the evolutionary benefits for (microbial) populations to maintain a seed bank (consisting of dormant individuals) when facing fluctuating…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Jochen Blath , Felix Hermann , Martin Slowik

Macro-level modeling is still the dominant approach in many demographic applications because of its simplicity. Individual-level models, on the other hand, provide a more comprehensive understanding of observed patterns; however, their…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-14 Daniel Ciganda , Nicolas Todd

Conducting research with older adults in their home environments presents unique opportunities and challenges that differ significantly from traditional lab-based studies. In this paper, we share our experiences from year-long research…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Amama Mahmood , Chien-Ming Huang

In survival analysis, the lifetime under study is not always observed. In certain applications, for some individuals, the value of the lifetime is only known to be smaller or larger than some random duration. This framework represent an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Laurent Bordes , Maria Carmen Pardo , Christian Paroissin , Valentin Patilea

In recent we introduced, developed and established a new concept, model, methodology and principle for studying human longevity in terms of demographic basis. We call the new model the "Weon model", which is a general model modified from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Byung Mook Weon

Among many efforts to facilitate timely access to safe and effective medicines to children, increased attention has been given to extrapolation. Loosely, it is the leveraging of conclusions or available data from adults or older age groups…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-06 Margaret Gamalo , Yoonji Kim , Fan Zhang , Junjing Lin

We build on the empirical finding that a human being's mental age is normally distributed around the chronological age. This opposes the frequent societal assumption "mental = chronological" which is known to be false in general but…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-30 Patrick A. Haas

We consider dynamic versions of the mutual information of lifetime distributions, with focus on past lifetimes, residual lifetimes and mixed lifetimes evaluated at different instants. This allows to study multicomponent systems, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Jafar Ahmadi , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Maria Longobardi

Branching processes are models used to describe populations that reproduce and die over time. In the classical setting, an individual's reproductive capacity remains constant throughout its lifetime. However, in real-world situations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Daniela Bertacchi , Elena Montanaro , Fabio Zucca