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In this work, we introduce metrics to evaluate the use of simplified time series in the context of interpretability of a TSC -- a Time Series Classifier. Such simplifications are important because time series data, in contrast to text and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Brigt Håvardstun , Felix Marti-Perez , Cèsar Ferri , Jan Arne Telle

Recently, deep learning has driven significant advancements in multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) tasks. However, much of the current research in MTSF tends to evaluate models from a holistic perspective, which obscures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Shuang Liang , Chaochuan Hou , Xu Yao , Shiping Wang , Minqi Jiang , Songqiao Han , Hailiang Huang

Recently, there has been a growing interest in time series foundation models that generalize across different downstream tasks. A key to strong foundation models is a diverse pre-training dataset, which is particularly challenging to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Songkang Wen , Vasilii Feofanov , Jianfeng Zhang

Foundation Models (FMs) have shown impressive performance on various text and image processing tasks. They can generalize across domains and datasets in a zero-shot setting. This could make them suitable for automated quality inspection…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Simon Baeuerle , Pratik Khanna , Nils Friederich , Angelo Jovin Yamachui Sitcheu , Damir Shakirov , Andreas Steimer , Ralf Mikut

Recent Transformer-based large language models (LLMs) demonstrate in-context learning ability to perform various functions based solely on the provided context, without updating model parameters. To fully utilize the in-context capabilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

Early Time-Series Classification (ETSC) is the task of predicting the class of incoming time-series by observing as few measurements as possible. Such methods can be employed to obtain classification forecasts in many time-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Charilaos Akasiadis , Evgenios Kladis , Evangelos Michelioudakis , Elias Alevizos , Alexander Artikis

Most tabular-data generators match marginal statistics yet ignore causal structure, leading downstream models to learn spurious or unfair patterns. We present TabSCM, a mixed-type generator that preserves those causal dependencies. Starting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Sven Jacob , Bardh Prenkaj , Weijia Shao , Gjergji Kasneci

We present CausalSim, a causal framework for unbiased trace-driven simulation. Current trace-driven simulators assume that the interventions being simulated (e.g., a new algorithm) would not affect the validity of the traces. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Abdullah Alomar , Pouya Hamadanian , Arash Nasr-Esfahany , Anish Agarwal , Mohammad Alizadeh , Devavrat Shah

Inherent temporal heterogeneity, such as varying sampling densities and periodic structures, has posed substantial challenges in zero-shot generalization for Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs). Existing TSFMs predominantly rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Kun Feng , Shaocheng Lan , Yuchen Fang , Wenchao He , Sihan Lu , Shuqi Gu , Lintao Ma , Xingyu Lu , Kan Ren

Pre-training on time series poses a unique challenge due to the potential mismatch between pre-training and target domains, such as shifts in temporal dynamics, fast-evolving trends, and long-range and short-cyclic effects, which can lead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Xiang Zhang , Ziyuan Zhao , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marinka Zitnik

Time-series generative models often lack control over temporal granularity, forcing users to accept whatever granularity the model produces. To enable truly user-driven generation, we introduce TimeTok, a unified framework for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Seokhyun Lee , Jaeho Kim , Changjun Oh , Mihaela van der Schaar , Changhee Lee

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are a class of potentially powerful, general-purpose tools for time series forecasting and related temporal tasks, but their behavior is strongly shaped by subtle inductive biases in their design.…

While numerous forecasters have been proposed using different network architectures, the Transformer-based models have state-of-the-art performance in time series forecasting. However, forecasters based on Transformers are still suffering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Kun Yi , Jingru Fei , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Shufeng Hao , Defu Lian , Wei Fan

We present TimeFound, an encoder-decoder transformer-based time series foundation model for out-of-the-box zero-shot forecasting. To handle time series data from various domains, TimeFound employs a multi-resolution patching strategy to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Congxi Xiao , Jingbo Zhou , Yixiong Xiao , Xinjiang Lu , Le Zhang , Hui Xiong

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) promise to be powerful tools for a wide range of applications. However, their internal representations and learned concepts are still not well understood. In this study, we investigate the structure and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Michał Wiliński , Mononito Goswami , Willa Potosnak , Nina Żukowska , Artur Dubrawski

Time series classification(TSC) has always been an important and challenging research task. With the wide application of deep learning, more and more researchers use deep learning models to solve TSC problems. Since time series always…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Shibo Zhou , Yu Pan

We present the Causal Gaussian Process Convolution Model (CGPCM), a doubly nonparametric model for causal, spectrally complex dynamical phenomena. The CGPCM is a generative model in which white noise is passed through a causal,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-23 Wessel Bruinsma , Richard E. Turner

Learning decent representations from unlabeled time-series data with temporal dynamics is a very challenging task. In this paper, we propose an unsupervised Time-Series representation learning framework via Temporal and Contextual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Emadeldeen Eldele , Mohamed Ragab , Zhenghua Chen , Min Wu , Chee Keong Kwoh , Xiaoli Li , Cuntai Guan