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We investigate the effectiveness of time series foundation models (TSFMs) for crowd flow prediction, focusing on Moirai and TimesFM. Evaluated on three real-world mobility datasets-Bike NYC, Taxi Beijing, and Spanish national OD flows-these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Massimiliano Luca , Ciro Beneduce , Bruno Lepri

Trajectory prediction and generation are crucial for autonomous robots in dynamic environments. While prior research has typically focused on either prediction or generation, our approach unifies these tasks to provide a versatile framework…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Sean Ye , Matthew Gombolay

Analyzing time series data is crucial to a wide spectrum of applications, including economics, online marketplaces, and human healthcare. In particular, time series classification plays an indispensable role in segmenting different phases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Xiwen Chen , Wenhui Zhu , Peijie Qiu , Hao Wang , Huayu Li , Zihan Li , Yalin Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Abolfazl Razi

Human animation aims to generate temporally coherent and visually consistent videos over long sequences, yet modeling long-range dependencies while preserving frame quality remains challenging. Inspired by the human ability to leverage past…

Time series analysis plays a critical role in numerous applications, supporting tasks such as forecasting, classification, anomaly detection, and imputation. In this work, we present the time series pattern machine (TSPM), a model designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Shiyu Wang , Jiawei Li , Xiaoming Shi , Zhou Ye , Baichuan Mo , Wenze Lin , Shengtong Ju , Zhixuan Chu , Ming Jin

We introduce Sundial, a family of native, flexible, and scalable time series foundation models. To predict the next-patch's distribution, we propose a TimeFlow Loss based on flow-matching, which facilitates native pre-training of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yong Liu , Guo Qin , Zhiyuan Shi , Zhi Chen , Caiyin Yang , Xiangdong Huang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Scientific foundation models hold great promise for advancing nuclear and particle physics by improving analysis precision and accelerating discovery. Yet, progress in this field is often limited by the lack of openly available large scale…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-09-09 Shuhang Li , Yi Huang , David Park , Xihaier Luo , Haiwang Yu , Yeonju Go , Christopher Pinkenburg , Yuewei Lin , Shinjae Yoo , Joseph Osborn , Christof Roland , Jin Huang , Yihui Ren

Diffusion models have shown great promise in data generation, yet generating time series data remains challenging due to the need to capture complex temporal dependencies and structural patterns. In this paper, we present \textit{TSGDiff},…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Lifeng Shen , Xuyang Li , Lele Long

Supervised time-series classification garners widespread interest because of its applicability throughout a broad application domain including finance, astronomy, biosensors, and many others. In this work, we tackle this problem with hybrid…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-20 Jack S. Baker , Gilchan Park , Kwangmin Yu , Ara Ghukasyan , Oktay Goktas , Santosh Kumar Radha

Synthetic datasets are widely used in many applications, such as missing data imputation, examining non-stationary scenarios, in simulations, training data-driven models, and analyzing system robustness. Typically, synthetic data are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-05 Ofek Aloni , Gal Perelman , Barak Fishbain

Supervised Causal Learning (SCL) has shown promise in causal discovery by framing it as a supervised learning problem. However, it suffers from significant out-of-distribution generalization challenges. We reveal three limitations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Zizhen Deng , Jiaru Zhang , Rui Ding , Huang Bojun , Jinzhuo Wang , Qiang Fu , Shi Han , Dongmei Zhang

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Causal discovery, the task of inferring causal structure from data, has the potential to uncover mechanistic insights from biological experiments, especially those involving perturbations. However, causal discovery algorithms over larger…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Menghua Wu , Yujia Bao , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

Time-series forecasting and causal discovery are central in neuroscience, as predicting brain activity and identifying causal relationships between neural populations and circuits can shed light on the mechanisms underlying cognition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Alessandro Crimi , Andrea Brovelli

Time series data is fundamental to decision-making across many domains including healthcare, finance, power systems, and logistics. However, analyzing this data correctly often requires incorporating unstructured contextual information,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Felix Parker , Nimeesha Chan , Chi Zhang , Kimia Ghobadi

Subsequence-based time series classification algorithms provide accurate and interpretable models, but training these models is extremely computation intensive. The asymptotic time complexity of subsequence-based algorithms remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Atif Raza , Stefan Kramer

Time-series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently emerged as a universal paradigm for learning across diverse temporal domains. However, despite their empirical success, the internal mechanisms by which these models represent fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Atharva Pandey , Abhilash Neog , Gautam Jajoo

Deep generative models have shown tremendous capability in data density estimation and data generation from finite samples. While these models have shown impressive performance by learning correlations among features in the data, some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Aneesh Komanduri , Xintao Wu , Yongkai Wu , Feng Chen

A time series is a sequence of sequentially ordered real values in time. Time series classification (TSC) is the task of assigning a time series to one of a set of predefined classes, usually based on a model learned from examples.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Patrick Schäfer , Ulf Leser
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