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Forecasting and forecast evaluation are inherently sequential tasks. Predictions are often issued on a regular basis, such as every hour, day, or month, and their quality is monitored continuously. However, the classical statistical tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Sebastian Arnold , Alexander Henzi , Johanna F. Ziegel

Networks built to model real world phenomena are characeterised by some properties that have attracted the attention of the scientific community: (i) they are organised according to community structure and (ii) their structure evolves with…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Giulio Rossetti , Rémy Cazabet

The power of any kind of network approach lies in the ability to simplify a complex system so that one can better understand its function as a whole. Sometimes it is beneficial, however, to include more information than in a simple graph of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-21 Petter Holme

Mutualistic networks provide a powerful way to describe and analyse plant-pollinator communities and their structure over time. While these networks capture the complex interdependencies that link population fates across the season, they…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-09 Tom Clegg , Thilo Gross

One of the most prominent properties in real-world networks is the presence of a community structure, i.e. dense and loosely interconnected groups of nodes called communities. In an attempt to better understand this concept, we study the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-08-16 Günce Keziban Orman , Vincent Labatut , Hocine Cherifi

Complex networks have emerged as a simple yet powerful framework to represent and analyze a wide range of complex systems. The problem of ranking the nodes and the edges in complex networks is critical for a broad range of real-world…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-30 Hao Liao , Manuel Sebastian Mariani , Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Ming-Yang Zhou

Network theory is a useful framework for studying interconnected systems of interacting entities. Many networked systems evolve continuously in time, but most existing methods for the analysis of time-dependent networks rely on discrete or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-05 Walid Ahmad , Mason A. Porter , Mariano Beguerisse-Díaz

The topic of this paper is testing exchangeability using e-values in the batch mode, with the Markov model as alternative. The null hypothesis of exchangeability is formalized as a Kolmogorov-type compression model, and the Bayes mixture of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-10 Vladimir Vovk

Networks observed in real world like social networks, collaboration networks etc., exhibit temporal dynamics, i.e. nodes and edges appear and/or disappear over time. In this paper, we propose a generative, latent space based, statistical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shubham Gupta , Gaurav Sharma , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Even though the concept of tie strength is central in social network analysis, it is difficult to quantify how strong social ties are. One typical way of estimating tie strength in data-driven studies has been to simply count the total…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-29 Javier Ureña-Carrion , Jari Saramäki , Mikko Kivelä

In this paper we propose methodology for inference of binary-valued adjacency matrices from various measures of the strength of association between pairs of network nodes, or more generally pairs of variables. This strength of association…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-16 Thomas E. Bartlett

We study e-values for quantifying evidence against exchangeability and general invariance of a random variable under a compact group. We start by characterizing such e-values, and explaining how they nest traditional group invariance tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Nick W. Koning

Structure of real networked systems, such as social relationship, can be modeled as temporal networks in which each edge appears only at the prescribed time. Understanding the structure of temporal networks requires quantifying the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-17 Taro Takaguchi , Yosuke Yano , Yuichi Yoshida

Temporal networks representing a stream of timestamped edges are seemingly ubiquitous in the real-world. However, the massive size and continuous nature of these networks make them fundamentally challenging to analyze and leverage for…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Nesreen K. Ahmed , Nick Duffield , Ryan A. Rossi

The evolution of many dynamical systems that describe relationships or interactions between objects can be effectively modeled by temporal networks, which are typically represented as a sequence of static network snapshots. In this paper,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Filip Blašković , Tim O. F. Conrad , Stefan Klus , Nataša Djurdjevac Conrad

Link prediction appears as a central problem of network science, as it calls for unfolding the mechanisms that govern the micro-dynamics of the network. In this work, we are interested in ego-networks, that is the mere information of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-12-16 Lionel Tabourier , Anne-Sophie Libert , Renaud Lambiotte

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

It is well-known that population structure is a catalyst for the evolution of cooperation since individuals can reciprocate with their neighbors through local interactions defined by network structures. Previous research typically relies on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-16 Anzhi Sheng , Aming Li , Long Wang

Network embedding techniques are powerful to capture structural regularities in networks and to identify similarities between their local fabrics. However, conventional network embedding models are developed for static structures, commonly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-07 Maddalena Torricelli , Márton Karsai , Laetitia Gauvin

Temporal communities result from a consistent partitioning of nodes across multiple snapshots of an evolving complex network that can help uncover how dense clusters in a network emerge, combine, split and decay with time. Current methods…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Vikas Kawadia , Sameet Sreenivasan
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