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Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

This paper presents a novel learning based framework for predicting power outages caused by extreme events. The proposed approach targets low-probability high-consequence outage scenarios and leverages a comprehensive set of features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Nina Fatehi , Antar Kumar Biswas , Masoud H. Nazari

This paper addresses the mid-term electricity load forecasting problem. Solving this problem is necessary for power system operation and planning as well as for negotiating forward contracts in deregulated energy markets. We show that our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Boris N. Oreshkin , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Ekaterina Turkina

Accurate load forecasting is critical for electricity market operations and other real-time decision-making tasks in power systems. This paper considers the short-term load forecasting (STLF) problem for residential customers within a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Yuqi Zhou , Arun Sukumaran Nair , David Ganger , Abhinandan Tripathi , Chaitanya Baone , Hao Zhu

This paper presents issues regarding short term electric load forecasting using feedforward and Elman recurrent neural networks. The study cases were developed using measured data representing electrical energy consume from Banat area.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Cristian Vasar , Iosif Szeidert , Ioan Filip , Gabriela Prostean

Accurate traffic prediction is vital for effective traffic management during hurricane evacuation. This paper proposes a predictive modeling system that integrates Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Qinhua Jiang , Brian Yueshuai He , Changju Lee , Jiaqi Ma

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

The integration of wind energy into power grids necessitates accurate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting to ensure grid stability and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces M2WLLM, an innovative model that leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Hang Fana , Mingxuan Lib , Zuhan Zhanga , Long Chengc , Yujian Ye , Dunnan Liua

Electricity expense management presents significant challenges, as this resource is susceptible to various influencing factors. In universities, the demand for this resource is rapidly growing with institutional expansion and has a…

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

The precise forecasting of electricity demand also referred to as load forecasting, is essential for both planning and managing a power system. It is crucial for many tasks, including choosing which power units to commit to, making plans…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kazi Fuad Bin Akhter , Sadia Mobasshira , Saief Nowaz Haque , Mahjub Alam Khan Hesham , Tanvir Ahmed

Due to the extensive availability of operation data, data-driven methods show strong capabilities in predicting building energy loads. Buildings with similar features often share energy patterns, reflected by spatial dependencies in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Yongzheng Liu , Yiming Wang , Po Xu , Yingjie Xu , Yuntian Chen , Dongxiao Zhang

Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Haris Mansoor , Sarwan Ali , Imdadullah Khan , Naveed Arshad , Muhammad Asad Khan , Safiullah Faizullah

Electricity is a volatile power source that requires great planning and resource management for both short and long term. More specifically, in the short-term, accurate instant energy consumption forecasting contributes greatly to improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Nuno Oliveira , Norberto Sousa , Isabel Praça

Time-series forecasting underpins critical decisions across aviation, energy, retail and health. Classical autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models offer interpretability via coefficients but struggle with nonlinearities,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Manish Shukla

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into modern power systems presents significant opportunities but also notable challenges, primarily due to the inherent variability of RES generation. Accurate forecasting of RES…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Farshid Kamrani , Kristen Schell

Accurate power load forecasting is crucial for improving energy efficiency and ensuring power supply quality. Considering the power load forecasting problem involves not only dynamic factors like historical load variations but also static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Chao Min , Yijia Wang , Bo Zhang , Xin Ma , Junyi Cui
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