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Long-term load forecasting plays a vital role for utilities and planners in terms of grid development and expansion planning. An overestimate of long-term electricity load will result in substantial wasted investment in the construction of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-28 Swasti R. Khuntia , José L. Rueda , Mart A. M. M. van der Meijden

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

Short Term Load forecasting in this paper uses input data dependent on parameters such as load for current hour and previous two hours, temperature for current hour and previous two hours, wind for current hour and previous two hours, cloud…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2009-12-08 Mrs. J. P. Rothe , Dr. A. K. Wadhwani , Dr. Mrs. S. Wadhwani

Short term Load Forecasting (STLF) plays an important role in traditional and modern power systems. Most STLF models predominantly exploit temporal dependencies from historical data to predict future consumption. Nowadays, with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Quoc Viet Nguyen , Joaquin Delgado Fernandez , Sergio Potenciano Menci

Accurate short-term power load forecasting is important to effectively manage, optimize, and ensure the robustness of modern power systems. This paper performs an empirical evaluation of a traditional statistical model and deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Suhasnadh Reddy Veluru , Sai Teja Erukude , Viswa Chaitanya Marella

Reliable anomaly detection in distributed power plant monitoring systems is essential for ensuring operational continuity and reducing maintenance costs, particularly in regions where telecom operators heavily rely on diesel generators.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Corneille Niyonkuru , Marcellin Atemkeng , Gabin Maxime Nguegnang , Arnaud Nguembang Fadja

This paper presents an ensemble forecasting method that shows strong results on the M4 Competition dataset by decreasing feature and model selection assumptions, termed DONUT (DO Not UTilize human beliefs). Our assumption reductions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Lars Lien Ankile , Kjartan Krange

Accurate energy consumption prediction is crucial for optimizing the operation of electric commercial heavy-duty vehicles, e.g., route planning for charging. Moreover, understanding why certain predictions are cast is paramount for such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Yuantao Fan , Zhenkan Wang , Sepideh Pashami , Slawomir Nowaczyk , Henrik Ydreskog

Mid-term and long-term electric energy demand prediction is essential for the planning and operations of the smart grid system. Mainly in countries where the power system operates in a deregulated environment. Traditional forecasting models…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-29 Yuting Ding , Di Wu , Yi He , Xin Luo , Song Deng

We describe our experience in developing a predictive model that placed high position in the BigDeal Challenge 2022, an energy competition of load and peak forecasting. We present a novel procedure for feature engineering and feature…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-10 Nicolò Rubattu , Gabriele Maroni , Giorgio Corani

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in diverse fields, necessitating the development of robust models that can effectively handle complex temporal patterns. In this article, we present a novel feature selection method embedded in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Raquel Espinosa , Fernando Jiménez , José Palma

Most useful weather prediction for the public is near the surface. The processes that are most relevant for near-surface weather prediction are also those that are most interactive and exhibit positive feedback or have key role in energy…

Ensuring sustainability demands more efficient energy management with minimized energy wastage. Therefore, the power grid of the future should provide an unprecedented level of flexibility in energy management. To that end, intelligent…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Daniel L. Marino , Kasun Amarasinghe , Milos Manic

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Pattern similarity-based methods are widely used in classification and regression problems. Repeated, similar-shaped cycles observed in seasonal time series encourage to apply these methods for forecasting. In this paper we use the pattern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is critical for integrating renewable energy sources into the grid, optimizing real-time energy management, and ensuring energy reliability amidst increasing demand. However, existing models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Guang Wu , Yun Wang , Qian Zhou , Ziyang Zhang

Short-term industrial enterprises power system forecasting is an important issue for both load control and machine protection. Scientists focus on load forecasting but ignore other valuable electric-meters which should provide guidance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Xiaoqiao Chen

By significant improvements in modern electrical systems, planning for unit commitment and power dispatching of them are two big concerns between the researchers. Short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in planning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Kasun Chandrarathna , Arman Edalati , AhmadReza Fourozan tabar

Time series forecasting is a critical task across domains such as energy, finance, and meteorology, where accurate predictions enable informed decision-making. While transformer-based and large-parameter models have recently achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Julien Guité-Vinet , Alexandre Blondin Massé , Éric Beaudry