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Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

Many approximate Bayesian inference methods assume a particular parametric form for approximating the posterior distribution. A multivariate Gaussian distribution provides a convenient density for such approaches; examples include the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-20 Jackson Zhou , Clara Grazian , John Ormerod

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

The aim of this paper is to study the mixture of the Riesz distribution on symmetric matrices with respect to the multivariate Poisson distribution. We show, in particular, that this distribution is related to the modified Bessel function…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-13 Abdelhamid Hassairi , Mahdi Louati

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

In this paper we focus on continuous univariate probability distributions, like McKay distributions, $K$-distribution, generalized inverse Gaussian distribution and generalised McKay distributions, with support $[0,\infty),$ which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Árpád Baricz , Dhivya Prabhu K , Sanjeev Singh , Antony Vijesh

Laplace's method approximates a target density with a Gaussian distribution at its mode. It is computationally efficient and asymptotically exact for Bayesian inference due to the Bernstein-von Mises theorem, but for complex targets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Hanlin Yu , Marcelo Hartmann , Bernardo Williams , Mark Girolami , Arto Klami

In this paper, we introduce a new probability distribution, the Lasso distribution. We derive several fundamental properties of the distribution, including closed-form expressions for its moments and moment-generating function.…

Gaussian approximations are routinely employed in Bayesian statistics to ease inference when the target posterior is intractable. Although these approximations are asymptotically justified by Bernstein-von Mises type results, in practice…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Daniele Durante , Francesco Pozza , Botond Szabo

Gaussian variational approximations are widely used for summarizing posterior distributions in Bayesian models, especially in high-dimensional settings. However, a drawback of such approximations is the inability to capture skewness or more…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Lucas Kock , Linda S. L. Tan , Prateek Bansal , David J. Nott

Bayesian inference on non-Gaussian data is often non-analytic and requires computationally expensive approximations such as sampling or variational inference. We propose an approximate inference framework primarily designed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Marius Hobbhahn , Philipp Hennig

We propose a new family of error distributions for model-based quantile regression, which is constructed through a structured mixture of normal distributions. The construction enables fixing specific percentiles of the distribution while,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-10 Yifei Yan , Athanasios Kottas

In this paper, an alternative mixed Poisson distribution is proposed by amalgamating Poisson distribution and a modification of the Quasi Lindley distribution. Some fundamental structural properties of the new distribution, namely the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Ramajeyam Tharshan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

The Wishart probability distribution on symmetricmatrices has been initially defined by mean of the multivariateGaussian distribution as an of the chi-square distribution. A moregeneral definition is given using results for harmonic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-19 Abdelhamid Hassairi

Laplace approximations are a standard tool for computationally efficient inference in latent Gaussian models, but they fail for quantile regression with the asymmetric Laplace likelihood because the observed Hessian vanishes almost…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Andrea Nava , Fabio Sigrist

A mixture of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions is introduced and used for clustering and classification. A variant of the EM algorithm is developed for parameter estimation by exploiting the relationship with the general inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-09 Brian C. Franczak , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

The Laplace approximation has been one of the workhorses of Bayesian inference. It often delivers good approximations in practice despite the fact that it does not strictly take into account where the volume of posterior density lies.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-02 Nikolaos Gianniotis

The paper considers the distribution of a general linear combination of central and non-central chi-square random variables by exploring the branch cut regions that appear in the standard Laplace inversion process. Due to the original…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-15 Alfred Kume , Tomonari Sei , Andrew T. A. Wood

We obtain exact formulas for the cumulative distribution function of the variance-gamma distribution, as infinite series involving the modified Bessel function of the second kind and the modified Lommel function of the first kind. From…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Robert E. Gaunt

The Naive-Bayes classifier is widely used due to its simplicity, speed and accuracy. However this approach fails when, for at least one attribute value in a test sample, there are no corresponding training samples with that attribute value.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Patrick Hosein , Kevin Baboolal
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