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An assumed density approximate likelihood is derived for a class of partially observed stochastic compartmental models which permit observational over-dispersion. This is achieved by treating time-varying reporting probabilities as latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-22 Michael Whitehouse

In Bayesian applications, there is a huge interest in rapid and accurate estimation of the posterior distribution, particularly for high dimensional or hierarchical models. In this article, we propose to use optimization to solve for a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-12 Leo L. Duan

It is generally known that counting statistics is not correctly described by a Gaussian approximation. Nevertheless, in neutron scattering, it is common practice to apply this approximation to the counting statistics; also at low counting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-09 Jakob Lassa , Magnus Egede Bøggild , Per Hedegård , Kim Lefmann

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin

Bessel's correction adjusts the denominator in the sample variance formula from n to n-1 to ensure an unbiased estimator of the population variance. This paper provides rigorous algebraic derivations geometric interpretations and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Felix Reichel

We obtain an asymptotic expansion for the null distribution function of thegradient statistic for testing composite null hypotheses in the presence of nuisance parameters. The expansion is derived using a Bayesian route based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-12 Tiago M. Vargas , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Artur J. Lemonte

Assessing the significance of alignment scores of optimally aligned DNA or amino acid sequences can be achieved via the knowledge of the score distribution of random sequences. But this requires obtaining the distribution in the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-24 Pascal Fieth , Alexander K. Hartmann

Gaussian empirical Bayes methods usually maintain a precision independence assumption: The unknown parameters of interest are independent from the known standard errors of the estimates. This assumption is often theoretically questionable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Jiafeng Chen

A new generalization of the family of Poisson-G is called beta Poisson-G family of distribution. Useful expansions of the probability density function and the cumulative distribution function of the proposed family are derived and seen as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Laba Handique , Subrata Chakraborty , Farrukh Jamal

We propose flexible Gaussian representations for conditional cumulative distribution functions and give a concave likelihood criterion for their estimation. Optimal representations satisfy the monotonicity property of conditional cumulative…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-22 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

Exponential families are widely used in machine learning, including many distributions in continuous and discrete domains (e.g., Gaussian, Dirichlet, Poisson, and categorical distributions via the softmax transformation). Distributions in…

Dirichlet distributions are probability measures on the unit simplex. They are often used as prior distributions in modeling categorical data, such as in topic analysis of text data. Motivated by this application, we consider Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Ayeong Lee

It is well-known that each statistic in the family of power divergence statistics, across $n$ trials and $r$ classifications with index parameter $\lambda\in\mathbb{R}$ (the Pearson, likelihood ratio and Freeman-Tukey statistics correspond…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Robert E. Gaunt

We study the posterior contraction rates of a Bayesian method with Gaussian process priors in nonparametric regression and its plug-in property for differential operators. For a general class of kernels, we establish convergence rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Zejian Liu , Meng Li

From a suitable integral representation of the Laplace transform of a positive semi-definite quadratic form of independent real random variables with not necessarily identical densities a univariate integral representation is derived for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-01 T. Royen

Two-piece location-scale models are used for modeling data presenting departures from symmetry. In this paper, we propose an objective Bayesian methodology for the tail parameter of two particular distributions of the above family: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-29 Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Rossini , Cristiano Villa

We introduce a class of distributions originating from an exponential family and having a property related to the strict stability property. A characteristic function representation for this family is obtained and its properties are…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-11 Lev B. Klebanov , Grigory Temnov

Seemingly unrelated linear regression models are introduced in which the distribution of the errors is a finite mixture of Gaussian components. Identifiability conditions are provided. The score vector and the Hessian matrix are derived.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Giuliano Galimberti , Elena Scardovi , Gabriele Soffritti

Quantile regression provides a consistent approach to investigating the association between covariates and various aspects of the distribution of the response beyond the mean. When the regression covariates are measured with errors,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-09 Roger S. Zoh , Annie Yu , Carmen Tekwe

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran
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