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We devise a policy-iteration algorithm for deterministic two-player discounted and mean-payoff games, that runs in polynomial time with high probability, on any input where each payoff is chosen independently from a sufficiently random…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Bruno Loff , Mateusz Skomra

Dyadic network formation models have wide applicability in economic research, yet are difficult to estimate in the presence of individual specific effects and in the absence of distributional assumptions regarding the model noise component.…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-09 L. Sanna Stephan

The ability to learn reward functions plays an important role in enabling the deployment of intelligent agents in the real world. However, comparing reward functions, for example as a means of evaluating reward learning methods, presents a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Blake Wulfe , Ashwin Balakrishna , Logan Ellis , Jean Mercat , Rowan McAllister , Adrien Gaidon

We investigate the problem of best policy identification in discounted linear Markov Decision Processes in the fixed confidence setting under a generative model. We first derive an instance-specific lower bound on the expected number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Jerome Taupin , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

This paper considers (partial) identification of a variety of counterfactual parameters in binary response models with possibly endogenous regressors. Our framework allows for nonseparable index functions with multi-dimensional latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-26 Jiaying Gu , Thomas M. Russell

In this paper, we study a mean-variance optimization problem in an infinite horizon discrete time discounted Markov decision process (MDP). The objective is to minimize the variance of system rewards with the constraint of mean performance.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Li Xia

The paper discusses inference techniques for semiparametric models based on suitable versions of inference functions. The text contains two parts. In the first part, we review the optimality theory for non-parametric models based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Rodrigo Labouriau

We provide identification results for a broad class of learning models in which continuous outcomes depend on three types of unobservables: known heterogeneity, initially unknown heterogeneity that may be revealed over time, and transitory…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-25 Jackson Bunting , Paul Diegert , Arnaud Maurel

We formulate and study a general time-varying multi-agent system where players repeatedly compete under incomplete information. Our work is motivated by scenarios commonly observed in online advertising and retail marketplaces, where agents…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Ludovico Crippa , Yonatan Gur , Bar Light

This paper presents an algorithm that generates the conditional moment inequalities that characterize the identified set of the common parameter of various semi-parametric panel multinomial choice models. I consider both static and dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Eric Mbakop

Inferring the laws of interaction between particles and agents in complex dynamical systems from observational data is a fundamental challenge in a wide variety of disciplines. We propose a non-parametric statistical learning approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni , Sui Tang , Ming Zhong

Elimination of unknowns in a system of differential equations is often required when analysing (possibly nonlinear) dynamical systems models, where only a subset of variables are observable. One such analysis, identifiability, often relies…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Ruiwen Dong , Christian Goodbrake , Heather A Harrington , Gleb Pogudin

In this paper, we study a Markov decision process with a non-linear discount function and with a Borel state space. We define a recursive discounted utility, which resembles non-additive utility functions considered in a number of models in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz , Andrzej S. Nowak

We study semiparametric efficiency bounds and efficient estimation of parameters defined through general moment restrictions with missing data. Identification relies on auxiliary data containing information about the distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-04 Xiaohong Chen , Han Hong , Alessandro Tarozzi

Diffusion in a linear potential in the presence of position-dependent killing is used to mimic a default process. Different assumptions regarding transport coefficients, initial conditions, and elasticity of the killing measure lead to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Yuri A. Katz

We can, and should, do statistical inference on simulation models by adjusting the parameters in the simulation so that the values of {\em randomly chosen} functions of the simulation output match the values of those same functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The policy gradient theorem gives a convenient form of the policy gradient in terms of three factors: an action value, a gradient of the action likelihood, and a state distribution involving discounting called the \emph{discounted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Fengdi Che , Gautham Vasan , A. Rupam Mahmood

Continuous-time empirical dynamic discrete choice games offer notable computational advantages over discrete-time models. This paper addresses remaining computational and econometric challenges to further improve both model solution and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Jason R. Blevins

We explore the effect of discounting and experimentation in a simple model of interacting adaptive agents. Agents belong to either of two types and each has to decide whether to participate a game or not, the game being profitable when…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Damien Challet , Andrea De Martino , Matteo Marsili

Classical latent-score ranking models often fail to distinguish objects' intrinsic scores from contextual effects, which are typically nonlinear and can dominate the observed outcomes. To address this, we introduce a semiparametric ranking…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Yuanhang Luo , Shuxing Fang , Ruijian Han , Yiming Xu